Accrington ST vs Cheltenham match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Accrington ST stats & fixtures · Cheltenham stats & fixtures
Accrington ST beat Cheltenham 2–0 in League Two on 3 October 2026. Cheltenham had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Accrington ST 41%, the draw 29% and Cheltenham 31%.
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham match statistics
- 44% Ball possession 56%
- 22 Total shots 6
- 6 Shots on target 1
- 13 Shots off target 1
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 14 Shots inside the box 1
- 8 Corners 2
- 15 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 338 Passes 462
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 42' Yellow card C. McCann Cheltenham
- 48' Yellow card T. Walton Accrington ST
- 74' Yellow card J. Woods Accrington ST
- 78' Goal C. Warren (assist C. O'Brien) Accrington ST
- 80' Yellow card D. Tutonda Accrington ST
- 87' Goal C. Warren Accrington ST
- 90+3' Red card C. McCann Cheltenham
- 90+5' Yellow card A. Weimann Cheltenham
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 41%Accrington ST fair odds 2.46
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.50
- 31%Cheltenham fair odds 3.25
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.64 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.67 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 11.76 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.23 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Accrington ST 4.9 · Cheltenham 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Accrington ST 1.9 · Cheltenham 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Accrington ST 5.0 · Cheltenham 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (531 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 1–0 8.6%
- 0–0 8.5%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–0 7.3%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 0–2 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Accrington ST
Bench C. Brown , J. Catesby , C. Grant , J. Rogerson , J. Smith , C. Warren , Oliver Smith
Cheltenham
Bench J. Bickerstaff , J. Day , G. Miller , G. Nurse , F. Willcox , J. Wilson , K. Otchere
Form guide
Accrington ST at home
4–6–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cheltenham away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST v Cheltenham | 3–1 | |
| Cheltenham v Accrington ST | 1–0 | |
| Accrington ST v Cheltenham | 0–0 | |
| Cheltenham v Accrington ST | 2–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 4.99 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 69% | 1.44 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.44 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.39 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.18 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.75 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.68 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 59% | 1.68 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.89 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.92 |