Posta Rangers FC vs 3K result

Goals and cards

1. 47' Goal M. Shaban Posta Rangers FC
2. 52' Goal S. Yipoh 3K
3. 62' Goal 3K

Why the Ghost says this

The two sides are expected to score about the same and playing at home is worth roughly 17% in this competition.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 653 matches.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.17× what an average away side does. In the numbers

Most likely score 1-1 (15%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

• 3K is new to this competition: rated from 4 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Posta Rangers FC attack scores about the average, against 3K defence, which lets in 14% more than average: 1.21 goals (an average side here: 1.07)
• 3K attack scores 5% less than average, against Posta Rangers FC defence, which lets in 17% more than average: 1.02 goals (an average side here: 0.91)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Posta Rangers FC 1.17, 3K 1.00.

Ratings from 74 matches for Posta Rangers FC and 4 for 3K, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Both teams have scored in 3 of Posta Rangers FC’s last 10.
• Posta Rangers FC score 0.9 a game — 37th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–1 14.5%
2. 0–0 12.6%
3. 1–0 12.3%
4. 0–1 10.0%
5. 2–1 8.0%
6. 2–0 7.9%
7. 1–2 6.6%
8. 0–2 5.7%