Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Antigua and Barbuda stats & fixtures · Aruba stats & fixtures
Antigua and Barbuda beat Aruba 3–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League C - 2) on 6 October 2026. Aruba had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Antigua and Barbuda 29%, the draw 26% and Aruba 46%.
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba match statistics
- 41% Ball possession 59%
- 12 Total shots 12
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 3
- 9 Shots inside the box 7
- 5 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 15
- 3 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 276 Passes 426
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal (assist D. Pereira) Antigua and Barbuda
- 11' Goal T. Bramble Antigua and Barbuda
- 14' Goal Aruba
- 21' Yellow card Aruba
- 44' Yellow card Aruba
- 50' Goal Aruba
- 64' Yellow card Antigua and Barbuda
- 67' Yellow card Antigua and Barbuda
- 86' Goal B. Satchell (assist A. Nathaniel-George) Antigua and Barbuda
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 29%Antigua and Barbuda fair odds 3.48
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.92
- 46%Aruba fair odds 2.18
Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.49 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.76 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.82 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.4
Antigua and Barbuda 5.0 · Aruba 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Antigua and Barbuda 1.8 · Aruba 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.8
Antigua and Barbuda 4.2 · Aruba 5.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.5%
- 1–2 9.2%
- 2–1 7.2%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 2–2 6.5%
- 0–1 5.9%
- 1–3 5.6%
- 0–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Antigua and Barbuda
Bench Zaieem scott, B. Satchell , A. Nathaniel-George , Jayden martin, Blavion James, V. Jackson , tyrik hughes, Leroy·Graham, raheem deterville, A. Daley , Roneba cordice, D. Barthley
Aruba
Bench ezekiel frans, Rovien ostiana, G. Robertha, Javier·Jimenez, Joey Zwaan, jayden kruydenhof, Justin Figaroa, josthan maduro, Mishawn Molina, Paul nickelson
Form guide
Antigua and Barbuda at home
2–0–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 4.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Aruba away
1–0–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda | 1–0 | |
| Aruba v Antigua and Barbuda | 2–3 | |
| Antigua and Barbuda v Aruba | 2–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.89 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.18 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.94 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.48 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.45 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.11 |