Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Cuba stats & fixtures · St. Kitts and Nevis stats & fixtures
Cuba drew with St. Kitts and Nevis 2–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 3) on 5 October 2026. Cuba had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cuba 57%, the draw 25% and St. Kitts and Nevis 18%.
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 25 Total shots 13
- 6 Shots on target 5
- 9 Shots off target 6
- 10 Blocked shots 2
- 16 Shots inside the box 11
- 5 Corners 5
- 11 Fouls 16
- 3 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 410 Passes 360
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 16' Goal (assist K. Kelly) St. Kitts and Nevis
- 25' Goal Y. Pérez (assist D. Reyes) Cuba
- 26' Yellow card M. Camejo Cuba
- 57' Yellow card Rico Browne St. Kitts and Nevis
- 62' Yellow card Cuba
- 62' Yellow card Cuba
- 63' Penalty scored St. Kitts and Nevis
- 90' Goal D. Díaz Cuba
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 57%Cuba fair odds 1.74
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.99
- 18%St. Kitts and Nevis fair odds 5.69
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.38 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Cuba 3.9 · St. Kitts and Nevis 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Cuba 1.8 · St. Kitts and Nevis 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Cuba 4.4 · St. Kitts and Nevis 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 2–0 10.3%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 9.7%
- 0–0 7.3%
- 3–0 6.4%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Cuba
Bench Dayron Reyes, maikol vega, Y. Zayas , A. Borrell , casanova elvis, D. Díaz , Yurdy Hodelín, yasniel matos, L. Mena , pedro bravo, D. Reinoso
St. Kitts and Nevis
Bench Anwa Springer, T. Simpson , xander parke, H. Panayiotou , Savi-K Morton, Victor Hart, nequan browne, Gvaune amory, Daron Thomas
Form guide
Cuba at home
1–1–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
St. Kitts and Nevis away
1–1–1 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 3
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba | 3–3 | |
| Cuba v St. Kitts and Nevis | 4–0 | |
| St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba | 2–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.61 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.48 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.69 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.73 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.53 |