Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Nicaragua stats & fixtures · Dominican Republic stats & fixtures
Nicaragua lost to Dominican Republic 1–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League A - 1) on 5 October 2026. Nicaragua had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nicaragua 44%, the draw 28% and Dominican Republic 28%.
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 13 Total shots 11
- 1 Shots on target 2
- 6 Shots off target 8
- 6 Blocked shots 1
- 9 Shots inside the box 6
- 6 Corners 4
- 13 Fouls 11
- 3 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 424 Passes 325
Goals and cards
- 4' Yellow card L. de Lucas Dominican Republic
- 5' Yellow card Edgar Pujol Dominican Republic
- 48' Yellow card Nicaragua
- 53' Goal Jaime Moreno (assist W. Talavera) Nicaragua
- 58' Penalty scored H. Mörschel Dominican Republic
- 63' Yellow card R. Cole Nicaragua
- 66' Goal Lucas Bretón Salcedo Dominican Republic
- 78' Yellow card J. Baez Dominican Republic
- 88' Yellow card Ó. Acevedo Nicaragua
- 90' Yellow card Peter Dominican Republic
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Nicaragua fair odds 2.28
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.56
- 28%Dominican Republic fair odds 3.57
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.76 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.83 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.53 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.33 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Nicaragua 3.5 · Dominican Republic 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Nicaragua 1.9 · Dominican Republic 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Nicaragua 3.8 · Dominican Republic 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 1–0 8.2%
- 0–0 7.8%
- 2–0 7.6%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–1 6.0%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Nicaragua
Bench Amadeus Zamora, J. Moncada , Ó. Acevedo , O. Bello , J. Garcia , Joab Gutierrez , J. Montes , Efraín Mejía, Jason Alonso Vega Carmona, O. Orozco , H. Ibarra, M. Hernández
Dominican Republic
Bench B. López , maximiliano jerez, Anyelo Gómez , E. Frias , P. Espinal , Lucas Bretón Salcedo , Yordy Álvarez , Javier Roces Quesada
Form guide
Nicaragua at home
1–0–3 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 4
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Dominican Republic away
2–0–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Dominican Republic v Nicaragua | 3–2 | |
| Nicaragua v Dominican Republic | 0–0 | |
| Dominican Republic v Nicaragua | 0–2 | |
| Dominican Republic v Nicaragua | 1–0 | |
| Nicaragua v Dominican Republic | 0–3 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.84 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.77 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.57 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.15 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.22 |