Aruba vs Anguilla match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Aruba beat Anguilla 3–2 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League C - 2) on 4 October 2026. Aruba had 76% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Aruba 79%, the draw 14% and Anguilla 8%.
Aruba vs Anguilla match statistics
- 76% Ball possession 24%
- 30 Total shots 9
- 9 Shots on target 3
- 17 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 24 Shots inside the box 4
- 9 Corners 4
- 7 Fouls 14
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 518 Passes 166
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal Carlito Fermina Aruba
- 39' Goal Anguilla
- 51' Yellow card Anguilla
- 53' Yellow card B. Martis Aruba
- 69' Yellow card Anguilla
- 77' Goal Anguilla
- 88' Yellow card Anguilla
- 90+3' Goal (assist Gianni Vandepitte) Aruba
- 90+3' Goal Aruba
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 79%Aruba fair odds 1.27
- 14%Draw fair odds 7.27
- 8%Anguilla fair odds 13.03
Most likely score 3-0 (8.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 40.01 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 11.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.44 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Aruba 5.6 · Anguilla 2.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Aruba 1.8 · Anguilla 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Aruba 7.5 · Anguilla 1.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 3–0 8.7%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 3–1 8.2%
- 2–1 8.1%
- 4–0 6.6%
- 4–1 6.3%
- 1–1 6.0%
- 1–0 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Aruba
Bench Walter Bennett, Ezekiel Norwin Secundino Frans, Javier Alejandro Jiménez Paris, J. Kruydenhof , Diederick Luigi Luydens, J. Maduro, Kymani Stephen Yunus Nedd, Jaybrien Dicheiro Nafali Romano, Gianni Vandepitte , Joey Zwaan, Gladwin curiel, A. Mercera
Anguilla
Bench Jordan Edward Bradman Deans, Antonio Fleming, Malachi Omar Gumbs, Cadejaun Adolvin Adan Julius, Kieron Lake-Bryan, Raynel Martin, Jefferson Dwayne Ruan, Aedon Scipio, Jaheim Warren Thompson, Tcari Connor, Caidan Carty, J. Guishard
Form guide
Aruba at home
4–0–0 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 4
- Corners
- 9.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 9.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Anguilla away
1–0–3 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Aruba vs Anguilla head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Anguilla v Aruba | 0–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 21% | 4.66 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.54 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.66 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.07 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.58 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 5% | 21.34 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 38.56 |