Barbados vs Bermuda match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Barbados beat Bermuda 4–1 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 2) on 3 October 2026. Barbados had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Barbados 25%, the draw 21% and Bermuda 53%.
Barbados vs Bermuda match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 15 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 4
- 4 Shots inside the box 8
- 4 Corners 4
- 8 Fouls 12
- 0 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 429 Passes 375
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 3' Yellow card Barbados
- 8' Goal D. Parfitt-Williams (assist D. Hill) Bermuda
- 20' Yellow card J. Donawa Bermuda
- 26' Goal T. Gale Barbados
- 29' Goal A. Applewhaite Barbados
- 41' Goal T. Gale (assist A. Applewhaite) Barbados
- 44' Yellow card N. Wells Bermuda
- 56' Yellow card D. Parfitt-Williams Bermuda
- 86' Goal (assist T. Gale) Barbados
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 25%Barbados fair odds 3.93
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.70
- 53%Bermuda fair odds 1.88
Most likely score 1-2 (8.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 37.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 12.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: No | 26% | 3.86 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Barbados 4.7 · Bermuda 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Barbados 2.0 · Bermuda 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 10.6
Barbados 5.8 · Bermuda 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–2 8.3%
- 1–1 7.9%
- 2–2 6.8%
- 1–3 6.6%
- 2–1 5.7%
- 2–3 5.4%
- 0–2 5.1%
- 0–3 4.0%
Team news & lineups
Barbados
Bench Kaliq Lashley, Lemar Catlyn, Thorne Davion, Zachary Applewhite , Ross Bourne, Raquan Clarke, Sheran Hoyte, T. James , Darico king, Jireh malcolm, Jaron oughterson, Shay Prescod
Form guide
Barbados at home
2–0–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Bermuda away
0–1–5 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 3.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Barbados vs Bermuda head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bermuda v Barbados | 8–1 | |
| Barbados v Bermuda | 0–0 | |
| Bermuda v Barbados | 2–3 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 47% | 2.14 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.38 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.93 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.05 |
| Home clean sheet | 9% | 10.81 |