St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba match stats & report
3–3 Full time
St. Kitts and Nevis stats & fixtures · Cuba stats & fixtures
St. Kitts and Nevis drew with Cuba 3–3 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 3) on 2 October 2026. St. Kitts and Nevis had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave St. Kitts and Nevis 17%, the draw 25% and Cuba 57%.
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 16 Total shots 21
- 7 Shots on target 7
- 4 Shots off target 10
- 5 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 4
- 9 Fouls 15
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 506 Passes 414
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 26' Goal K. Kelly St. Kitts and Nevis
- 29' Goal Y. Pérez Cuba
- 38' Goal (assist M. Camejo) Cuba
- 51' Goal Y. Pérez Cuba
- 73' Yellow card L. Crolla St. Kitts and Nevis
- 76' Yellow card Rico Browne St. Kitts and Nevis
- 82' Goal T. Simpson St. Kitts and Nevis
- 86' Yellow card D. Reyes Cuba
- 88' Goal (assist L. Crolla) St. Kitts and Nevis
- 90+1' Yellow card K. Kelly St. Kitts and Nevis
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 17%St. Kitts and Nevis fair odds 5.80
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.93
- 57%Cuba fair odds 1.74
Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.89 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.87 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.08 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
St. Kitts and Nevis 4.5 · Cuba 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.9
St. Kitts and Nevis 2.1 · Cuba 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
St. Kitts and Nevis 4.1 · Cuba 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.2%
- 0–2 10.7%
- 0–1 10.3%
- 1–2 9.9%
- 0–0 7.8%
- 0–3 6.5%
- 1–3 6.0%
- 2–1 5.0%
Team news & lineups
St. Kitts and Nevis
Bench Gvaune amory, nequan browne, L. Crolla , Victor Hart, yohannes mitchum, Savi-K Morton, xander parke, T. Simpson , Anwa Springer, Daron Thomas
Cuba
Bench Y. Zayas , maikol vega, Dayron Reyes, D. Reinoso , pedro bravo, L. Mena , yasniel matos, Yurdy Hodelín, D. Díaz , casanova elvis, A. Borrell
Form guide
St. Kitts and Nevis at home
4–1–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 3.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.0 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Cuba away
1–1–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 2.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.0 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
St. Kitts and Nevis vs Cuba head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Cuba v St. Kitts and Nevis | 4–0 | |
| St. Kitts and Nevis v Cuba | 2–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.60 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.34 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Away clean sheet | 40% | 2.52 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.80 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 43% | 2.34 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.00 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.19 |