St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe match stats & report
3–0 Full time
St. Lucia stats & fixtures · Guadeloupe stats & fixtures
St. Lucia beat Guadeloupe 3–0 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 2) on 2 October 2026. St. Lucia had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave St. Lucia 9%, the draw 20% and Guadeloupe 71%.
St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 8 Total shots 12
- 3 Shots on target 2
- 4 Shots off target 4
- 1 Blocked shots 6
- 5 Shots inside the box 4
- 3 Corners 5
- 14 Fouls 12
- 2 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 328 Passes 323
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 18' Penalty scored C. Elva St. Lucia
- 35' Goal Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd St. Lucia
- 45+1' Yellow card Guadeloupe
- 54' Yellow card Guadeloupe
- 57' Goal D. Phillip St. Lucia
- 90' Yellow card S. Byron St. Lucia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 9%St. Lucia fair odds 11.31
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.98
- 71%Guadeloupe fair odds 1.41
Most likely score 0-2 (13.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.32 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.79 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.3
St. Lucia 3.5 · Guadeloupe 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.5
St. Lucia 1.9 · Guadeloupe 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
St. Lucia 3.6 · Guadeloupe 5.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 13.8%
- 0–1 11.6%
- 0–3 10.0%
- 1–1 9.5%
- 1–2 9.2%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 1–3 6.7%
- 0–4 5.5%
Team news & lineups
St. Lucia
Bench Devone Prix St., Mervin Romain St., lester joseph, djal augustin, yanic noel, gregson president, Alfred Hippolyte, Dervaj Edward, Baggio Edward, darren donaie, Garvin Reggie
Guadeloupe
Bench Mathis Citronnelle, Sulyvan Darase, Thomas Davillars, hans dezac, Jonathan Gamby, Fabien Geran, Willan Jacques, Kenjy montantin, Mathieu Philemon, Alexis Silo, Allan Vulgaire
Form guide
St. Lucia at home
2–0–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 4.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Guadeloupe away
1–0–1 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 2
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Guadeloupe v St. Lucia | 2–0 | |
| St. Lucia v Guadeloupe | 2–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Home clean sheet | 11% | 8.80 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 29% | 3.46 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 14% | 6.99 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 9% | 11.31 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 33.58 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 3% | 39.99 |