Nicaragua vs Costa Rica match stats & report
0–3 Full time
Nicaragua stats & fixtures · Costa Rica stats & fixtures
Nicaragua lost to Costa Rica 0–3 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League A - 1) on 2 October 2026. Costa Rica had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nicaragua 13%, the draw 24% and Costa Rica 64%.
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica match statistics
- 36% Ball possession 64%
- 4 Total shots 13
- 1 Shots on target 6
- 2 Shots off target 5
- 1 Blocked shots 2
- 2 Shots inside the box 10
- 4 Corners 6
- 14 Fouls 13
- 3 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 235 Passes 426
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 57' Goal O. Sinclair (assist Yerlan Sosa) Costa Rica
- 60' Goal C. Mora (assist J. Méndez) Costa Rica
- 71' Yellow card Juan Luis Perez Nicaragua
- 73' Yellow card Nicaragua
- 77' Yellow card C. Mora Costa Rica
- 90+1' Yellow card Nicaragua
- 90+4' Yellow card J. Méndez Costa Rica
- 90+7' Goal K. Michel (assist Yerlan Sosa) Costa Rica
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 13%Nicaragua fair odds 7.96
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.24
- 64%Costa Rica fair odds 1.57
Most likely score 0-2 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.40 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.34 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.87 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.3
Nicaragua 4.6 · Costa Rica 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Nicaragua 1.9 · Costa Rica 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 7.4
Nicaragua 3.5 · Costa Rica 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 9.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 12.7%
- 0–1 11.9%
- 1–1 11.2%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 0–3 8.2%
- 0–0 8.1%
- 1–3 6.2%
- 0–4 3.9%
Team news & lineups
Nicaragua
Bench B. Bonilla , E. Gomez , Joab Gutierrez , B. Hernández , melvin hernandez, J. Montes , Efraín Mejía, Christian Reyes , O. Salinas , J. Vega , Amadeus Zamora, Huberts ibarra
Costa Rica
Bench J. Vargas , G. Torres , A. Soto , P. Sequeira , John Paul Ruíz , Y. Molina , J. Méndez , A. Madríz , D. López , C. Borges , J. Azofeifa , C. Barahona
Form guide
Nicaragua at home
1–0–3 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 4
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Costa Rica away
1–2–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Nicaragua vs Costa Rica head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Costa Rica v Nicaragua | 4–1 | |
| Nicaragua v Costa Rica | 1–1 | |
| Costa Rica v Nicaragua | 4–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 36% | 2.76 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.14 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.70 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home clean sheet | 14% | 6.90 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away clean sheet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.52 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.28 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 24.23 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.96 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 25.50 |