Angola vs Malawi match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Angola beat Malawi 3–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 2) on 6 October 2026. Angola had 72% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Angola 66%, the draw 26% and Malawi 8%.
Angola vs Malawi match statistics
- 72% Ball possession 28%
- 21 Total shots 6
- 9 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 2
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 11 Shots inside the box 2
- 13 Corners 2
- 13 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 762 Passes 298
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal Milson (assist M. Sambu) Angola
- 6' Yellow card Malawi
- 38' Goal Mabululu (assist Pedro Francisco) Angola
- 45+2' Own goal Kialonda Gaspar Malawi
- 70' Goal Miro (assist Pedro Francisco) Angola
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 66%Angola fair odds 1.51
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.83
- 8%Malawi fair odds 12.89
Most likely score 1-0 (20.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.14 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 19.51 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.72 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 27% | 3.68 |
| Both teams to score: No | 73% | 1.37 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Angola 5.6 · Malawi 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Angola 1.7 · Malawi 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Angola 5.4 · Malawi 2.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 20.7%
- 2–0 17.3%
- 0–0 14.9%
- 1–1 9.8%
- 3–0 9.2%
- 2–1 6.9%
- 0–1 4.3%
- 3–1 3.6%
Team news & lineups
Angola
Bench Mário Balbúrdia , Zini , Neblú, Joaquim Marcos Cunga Balanga, Alexandre Fernando , Chico Banza , Fernando Inácio da Costa, Depu , Jorge Honesimo Miguel, Miro , Deivi Miguel Vieira, antonio hossi
Malawi
Bench Festus Duwe, Amos Sande, robert saizi, C. Gumbo, Adielo Kaduya, E. Kondowe, Francisco Madinga, M. Malango , Richard Mbulu, B. Mpokera, Yankho Singo, G. Chokooka
Form guide
Angola at home
3–3–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Malawi away
1–2–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 34% | 2.95 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.95 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.89 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 38% | 2.65 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.69 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 6% | 16.46 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 128.75 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.89 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 66.03 |