Bandari vs Posta Rangers FC result

Goals and cards

1. 52' Red card Posta Rangers FC

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Bandari to score about 0.3 more. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.

High confidence — Fitted on 639 matches, and close to what the market implies.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.14× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Bandari’s last five moved its expected goals by −1.9%. In the numbers
• Posta Rangers FC’s last five moved its expected goals by −2.1%. In the numbers
• Last 4 meetings: Bandari won 0, 4 drawn, Posta Rangers FC won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 0-0 (17%). Confidence: High.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Bandari attack scores 15% less than average, against Posta Rangers FC defence, which lets in 19% more than average: 1.07 goals (an average side here: 1.06)
• Posta Rangers FC attack scores about the average, against Bandari defence, which lets in 15% fewer than average: 0.79 goals (an average side here: 0.93)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Bandari 1.07, Posta Rangers FC 0.78.

Ratings from 71 matches for Bandari and 73 for Posta Rangers FC, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Bandari score 0.6 a game — 11th percentile in this competition.
• Posta Rangers FC have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
• Bandari have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

1. 0–0 17.1%
2. 1–0 15.7%
3. 1–1 14.6%
4. 0–1 10.6%
5. 2–0 8.9%
6. 2–1 7.2%
7. 1–2 5.0%
8. 0–2 4.8%