Scotland vs Slovenia match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Scotland lost to Slovenia 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on 6 October 2026. Scotland had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Scotland 44%, the draw 31% and Slovenia 24%.
Scotland vs Slovenia match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 12 Total shots 10
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 5 Shots off target 4
- 1 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 6
- 1 Corners 4
- 11 Fouls 16
- 0 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 621 Passes 521
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 30' Yellow card E. Janža Slovenia
- 31' Goal R. Christie (assist O. McBurnie) Scotland
- 44' Yellow card J. McGinn Scotland
- 54' Yellow card D. Zec Slovenia
- 56' Goal A. Matko (assist D. Šturm) Slovenia
- 68' Yellow card L. Binks Scotland
- 71' Goal D. Šturm (assist A. Matko) Slovenia
- 85' Yellow card M. Zabukovnik Slovenia
- 90+2' Yellow card Ž. Celar Slovenia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Scotland fair odds 2.25
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.21
- 24%Slovenia fair odds 4.11
Most likely score 1-1 (14.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.16 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.53 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.30 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.86 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Scotland 5.5 · Slovenia 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Scotland 1.5 · Slovenia 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Scotland 4.5 · Slovenia 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 7.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 8.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 9.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.6%
- 1–0 12.2%
- 0–0 12.0%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 0–1 8.0%
- 1–2 6.0%
- 0–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Scotland
Bench K. Bowie , Josh McPake , Kristi Montgomery , L. Miller , S. Bain , Findlay Curtis , J. Doig , N. Patterson , L. Graham , A. Hickey , R. Ure , L. Kelly
Slovenia
Bench Ž. Celar , V. Drkušić , Timi Max Elšnik , T. Horvat , S. Kuzmić , S. Lovrić , T. Svetlin , J. Urbancic , I. Vekič , M. Vidovšek , J. Balkovec , T. Begić
Form guide
Scotland at home
4–0–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Slovenia away
2–2–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Scotland vs Slovenia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Slovenia v Scotland | 0–0 | |
| Slovenia v Scotland | 2–2 | |
| Scotland v Slovenia | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.11 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.79 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.80 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.11 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.81 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.59 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.61 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.53 |