Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Luxembourg stats & fixtures · Bulgaria stats & fixtures
Luxembourg lost to Bulgaria 0–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on 6 October 2026. Luxembourg had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Luxembourg 41%, the draw 32% and Bulgaria 27%.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria match statistics
- 63% Ball possession 37%
- 18 Total shots 13
- 7 Shots on target 5
- 10 Shots off target 7
- 1 Blocked shots 1
- 11 Shots inside the box 10
- 5 Corners 4
- 15 Fouls 15
- 2 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 582 Passes 347
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 19' Goal Kristiyan Balov (assist E. Tsenov) Bulgaria
- 31' Yellow card G. Rusev Bulgaria
- 34' Goal A. Iliev (assist G. Rusev) Bulgaria
- 41' Yellow card S. Velkov Bulgaria
- 51' Yellow card Y. Stoyanov Bulgaria
- 81' Yellow card D. Carlson Luxembourg
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 41%Luxembourg fair odds 2.45
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.11
- 27%Bulgaria fair odds 3.70
Most likely score 1-1 (14.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.49 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 13.64 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.87 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.84 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Luxembourg 4.7 · Bulgaria 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Luxembourg 2.2 · Bulgaria 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Luxembourg 3.6 · Bulgaria 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 7.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.9%
- 0–0 12.7%
- 1–0 11.9%
- 0–1 8.9%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Luxembourg
Bench E. Džogović , Aiman Dardari , L. Fox , S. Ikene , T. Kips , M. Martins , M. Olesen , T. Pereira Cardoso , T. Rupil , S. Thill , A. Qevani , M. Goncalves
Bulgaria
Bench A. Chandarov , I. Turitsov , B. Tsonev , K. Stoyanov , V. Nikolov , D. Mitov , S. Ivanov , A. Hristov , Z. Dimitrov , K. Dimitrov , A. Bozhev , Petko Panayotov
Form guide
Luxembourg at home
1–0–4 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Bulgaria away
3–1–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria v Luxembourg | 1–2 | |
| Luxembourg v Bulgaria | 0–1 | |
| Bulgaria v Luxembourg | 0–0 | |
| Luxembourg v Bulgaria | 0–0 | |
| Luxembourg v Bulgaria | 1–1 | |
| Bulgaria v Luxembourg | 4–3 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.72 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.45 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.63 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.66 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.46 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.47 |