Estonia vs Iceland match stats & report
0–0 Full time
Estonia drew with Iceland 0–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on 6 October 2026. Iceland had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Estonia 17%, the draw 26% and Iceland 58%.
Estonia vs Iceland match statistics
- 38% Ball possession 62%
- 13 Total shots 12
- 3 Shots on target 1
- 9 Shots off target 7
- 1 Blocked shots 4
- 8 Shots inside the box 9
- 3 Corners 7
- 10 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 360 Passes 579
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 25' Yellow card D. L. Gretarsson Iceland
- 84' Yellow card M. Schjønning-Larsen Estonia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 17%Estonia fair odds 6.04
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.86
- 58%Iceland fair odds 1.74
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.78 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.70 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 1.98 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Estonia 4.0 · Iceland 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Estonia 2.0 · Iceland 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Estonia 2.8 · Iceland 5.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 0–2 11.2%
- 0–1 11.2%
- 1–2 9.7%
- 0–0 8.5%
- 0–3 6.7%
- 1–3 5.8%
- 1–0 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Estonia
Bench E. Grünvald , M. Ainsalu , Mattias Käit , F. Liivak , Karel Mustmaa , M. Schjønning-Larsen , M. Skvortsov , M. Soomets , A. Tamm , T. Tammik , J. Tamm , K. Vallner
Iceland
Bench B. Willumsson , Logi Tomasson , Í. Þorvaldsson , J. Þorsteinsson , A. Sigurdsson , A. Sampsted , Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson , Þ. Helgason , A. Gunnarsson , A. Einarsson , A. Baldursson , B. Bjarnason
Form guide
Estonia at home
1–2–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Iceland away
2–3–4 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Estonia vs Iceland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Iceland v Estonia | 1–1 | |
| Iceland v Estonia | 1–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.35 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 42% | 2.35 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.66 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.96 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.80 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 17% | 6.04 |
| Away clean sheet | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home clean sheet | 17% | 5.91 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 17.54 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.48 |