Belarus vs Finland match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Belarus beat Finland 1–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on 6 October 2026. Finland had 74% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Belarus 18%, the draw 30% and Finland 52%.
Belarus vs Finland match statistics
- 26% Ball possession 74%
- 6 Total shots 14
- 2 Shots on target 2
- 1 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 6
- 2 Shots inside the box 8
- 1 Corners 5
- 17 Fouls 11
- 0 Offsides 1
- 4 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 234 Passes 656
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal A. Shumanskiy Belarus
- 15' Penalty missed Z. Volkov Belarus
- 27' Yellow card A. Shumanskiy Belarus
- 27' Yellow card G. Barkovskiy Belarus
- 38' Yellow card V. Bocherov Belarus
- 75' Yellow card B. Källman Finland
- 83' Yellow card K. Pechenin Belarus
- 90+2' Yellow card S. Miettinen Finland
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 18%Belarus fair odds 5.48
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.39
- 52%Finland fair odds 1.91
Most likely score 0-1 (13.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.15 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.49 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.29 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.77 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Belarus 4.1 · Finland 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Belarus 2.3 · Finland 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Belarus 3.1 · Finland 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–1 13.8%
- 1–1 13.6%
- 0–0 11.9%
- 0–2 11.4%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 0–3 5.6%
- 2–1 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Belarus
Bench V. Gromyko , D. Galyata , A. Kontsevoy , A. Kovalev , A. Kudravets , Vitaliy Lisakovich , E. Malashevich , T. Melnichenko , P. Pavlyuchenko , A. Svirepa , I. Tikhomirov , E. Yablonskiy
Finland
Bench L. Bergström , D. Håkans , Oiva Jukkola , B. Källman , T. Miettinen , J. Pohjanpalo , V. Sinisalo , A. Stahl , A. Suhonen , S. Vaananen , L. Vaisanen , D. Arifi
Form guide
Belarus at home
3–2–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Finland away
2–0–4 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Belarus vs Finland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Finland v Belarus | 0–0 | |
| Finland v Belarus | 2–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.63 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.35 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.48 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.78 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 22.12 |