Albania vs San Marino match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Albania stats & fixtures · San Marino stats & fixtures
Albania beat San Marino 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on 6 October 2026. Albania had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Albania 95%, the draw 5% and San Marino <1%.
Albania vs San Marino match statistics
- 70% Ball possession 30%
- 26 Total shots 8
- 7 Shots on target 3
- 12 Shots off target 3
- 7 Blocked shots 2
- 21 Shots inside the box 3
- 10 Corners 1
- 12 Fouls 21
- 0 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 561 Passes 255
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 11' Goal K. Asllani Albania
- 38' Yellow card San Marino
- 51' Yellow card M. Cevoli San Marino
- 66' Goal L. Lazzari (assist L. Capicchioni) San Marino
- 76' Yellow card S. Giocondi San Marino
- 84' Yellow card N. Giacopetti San Marino
- 90+2' Yellow card A. Ismajli Albania
- 90+3' Penalty scored K. Asllani Albania
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 95%Albania fair odds 1.05
- 5%Draw fair odds 22.06
- <1%San Marino fair odds 377.29
Most likely score 3-0 (19.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 31.40 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 10% | 10.05 |
| Both teams to score: No | 90% | 1.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.2
Albania 7.8 · San Marino 1.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Albania 1.6 · San Marino 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Albania 7.5 · San Marino 0.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 3–0 19.7%
- 2–0 17.4%
- 4–0 16.7%
- 5–0 11.3%
- 1–0 10.2%
- 6–0 6.4%
- 0–0 3.2%
- 7–0 3.1%
Team news & lineups
Albania
Bench K. Cake , M. Daku , L. Hasa , M. Kumbulla , A. Mehmeti , Ylber Ramadani , T. Seferi , C. Shpendi , S. Simoni , A. Taho , M. Uzuni , N. Aliji
San Marino
Bench M. Pasolini , S. Pancotti , G. Bugli, Lyes Hoël, Nicholas Protti , G. Capicchioni , M. Mularoni , L. Lazzari , A. Golinucci , M. De Angelis , G. Benvenuti , A. Tosi
Form guide
Albania at home
3–0–3 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
San Marino away
0–0–6 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 4.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 1.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Albania vs San Marino head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| San Marino v Albania | 0–3 | |
| Albania v San Marino | 5–0 | |
| San Marino v Albania | 0–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.90 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home/Away double chance | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 5% | 20.84 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 10% | 9.86 |
| Away clean sheet | 3% | 29.54 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 1% | 187.58 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Home/Draw double chance | >99% | 1.00 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 5% | 20.84 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | <1% | 377.29 |