Croatia vs Spain match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Croatia lost to Spain 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 6 October 2026. Spain had 72% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Croatia 22%, the draw 24% and Spain 54%.
Croatia vs Spain match statistics
- 28% Ball possession 72%
- 10 Total shots 10
- 5 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 7
- 3 Corners 6
- 12 Fouls 10
- 0 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 298 Passes 778
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 14' Yellow card Croatia
- 17' Goal I. Perišić Croatia
- 22' Yellow card I. Perišić Croatia
- 61' Goal Mikel Merino (assist Dani Olmo) Spain
- 65' Yellow card L. Modrić Croatia
- 66' Yellow card Rodri Spain
- 79' Red card I. Perišić Croatia
- 88' Goal Mikel Merino (assist M. Zubimendi) Spain
- 90+2' Yellow card Víctor Muñoz Spain
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 22%Croatia fair odds 4.56
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.24
- 54%Spain fair odds 1.84
Most likely score 1-1 (10.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.11 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.91 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.78 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Croatia 3.5 · Spain 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Croatia 2.1 · Spain 1.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
Croatia 3.0 · Spain 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.6%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 0–2 7.6%
- 1–3 6.6%
- 0–1 6.1%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 2–1 5.9%
- 0–3 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Croatia
Bench D. Beljo , J. Mišić , M. Pasalic , M. Pongračić , Mario Pašalić , I. Pandur , M. Baturina , L. Sučić , A. Budimir , D. Kotarski , P. Sučić , A. Kramarić
Spain
Bench Iván Fresneda , Fran García , D. Huijsen , R. Le Normand , Josep Martínez , Mikel Merino , Víctor Muñoz , Yeremy Pino , David Raya , M. Zubimendi , Fermín , Roberto Fernández
Form guide
Croatia at home
4–0–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Spain away
7–0–0 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 7
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Croatia vs Spain head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Spain v Croatia | 4–1 | |
| Spain v Croatia | 3–0 | |
| Croatia v Spain | 0–0 | |
| Croatia v Spain | 3–5 | |
| Croatia v Spain | 3–2 | |
| Spain v Croatia | 6–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 46% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.76 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.35 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.20 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.56 |
| Home clean sheet | 13% | 7.88 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.58 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 33% | 2.99 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.56 |