Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Bosnia & Herzegovina stats & fixtures · Poland stats & fixtures
Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on 5 October 2026. Poland had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bosnia & Herzegovina 21%, the draw 27% and Poland 51%.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland match statistics
- 44% Ball possession 56%
- 9 Total shots 18
- 1 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 7
- 4 Blocked shots 7
- 5 Shots inside the box 10
- 2 Corners 8
- 12 Fouls 7
- 4 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 359 Passes 442
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 32' Yellow card A. Gigović Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 38' Yellow card Nicola Zalewski Poland
- 42' Yellow card E. Demirović Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 76' Yellow card N. Katić Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 83' Yellow card J. Bednarek Poland
- 84' Penalty scored I. Basic Bosnia & Herzegovina
- 90+1' Yellow card N. Wojtuszek Poland
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 21%Bosnia & Herzegovina fair odds 4.67
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 51%Poland fair odds 1.95
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.28 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.19 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Bosnia & Herzegovina 4.1 · Poland 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.1 · Poland 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.0
Bosnia & Herzegovina 3.7 · Poland 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 0–1 9.8%
- 1–2 9.7%
- 0–2 9.5%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 2–1 5.9%
- 1–3 5.4%
- 1–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bench Samed Baždar , J. Lukić , Mladen Jurkas , A. Malic , A. Hasić , S. Hamzić , E. Bajraktarevic , Nihad Mujakić , N. Omerović , S. Radeljic , Ivan Šunjić , Benjamin Tahirović
Poland
Bench M. Kochalski , O. Pietuszewski , K. Potulski , T. Puchacz , M. Reguła , M. Skóraś , B. Slisz , K. UrbaÅ„ski , P. Wiśniewski , N. Wojtuszek , S. Abramowicz , T. Kędziora
Form guide
Bosnia & Herzegovina at home
3–2–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Poland away
2–0–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 7.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0–0 | |
| Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3–0 | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina v Poland | 1–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.48 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.77 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.06 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.68 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 49% | 2.06 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.38 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.67 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 11.91 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.10 |