Romania vs Sweden match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Romania lost to Sweden 0–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on 5 October 2026. Romania had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Romania 29%, the draw 27% and Sweden 45%.
Romania vs Sweden match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 13 Total shots 12
- 4 Shots on target 2
- 3 Shots off target 9
- 6 Blocked shots 1
- 7 Shots inside the box 10
- 5 Corners 4
- 15 Fouls 11
- 3 Offsides 0
- 4 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 527 Passes 500
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 5' Yellow card Nicușor Bancu Romania
- 13' Goal V. Gyökeres Sweden
- 48' Yellow card R. Marin Romania
- 53' Yellow card Felix Beijmo Sweden
- 62' Yellow card A. Bernhardsson Sweden
- 82' Yellow card V. Mihaila Romania
- 90+3' Yellow card C. Cîrjan Romania
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 29%Romania fair odds 3.49
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.73
- 45%Sweden fair odds 2.24
Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.45 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.56 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Romania 3.9 · Sweden 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Romania 2.0 · Sweden 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Romania 3.9 · Sweden 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.5%
- 1–2 9.3%
- 2–1 7.3%
- 0–2 7.1%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 0–0 6.5%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 1–3 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Romania
Bench Alexandru Cicâldău , V. Mihaila , Ianis Hagi , L. Eissat , C. Cîrjan , V. Cojocaru , O. Moruțan , R. Opruț , I. Radu , Vladimir Screciu , T. Strata , Tudor Băluță
Sweden
Bench N. Törnqvist , W. Swedberg , D. Svensson , H. Skoglund , Ken Sema , H. Larsson , V. Eriksson , M. Ellborg , S. Dahl , H. Bolin , P. Abraham
Form guide
Romania at home
4–0–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sweden away
2–2–4 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 8
- Corners
- 3.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Romania vs Sweden head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden v Romania | 2–1 | |
| Romania v Sweden | 0–2 | |
| Sweden v Romania | 2–1 | |
| Romania v Sweden | 1–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.71 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.36 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.85 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.72 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.22 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.13 |