Cyprus vs Latvia match stats & report

2–1 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League C - 4 · GSP Stadium, Nicosia · Ref Giorgi Kruashvili

Cyprus stats & fixtures · Latvia stats & fixtures

Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on 5 October 2026. Cyprus had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cyprus 46%, the draw 30% and Latvia 23%.

Cyprus vs Latvia match statistics

CyprusLatvia

Goals and cards

  1. 29' Yellow card Raivis Jurkovskis Latvia
  2. 57' Goal E. Dašķevičs (assist V. Gutkovskis) Latvia
  3. 70' Goal I. Kosti Cyprus
  4. 76' Yellow card D. Patijčuks Latvia
  5. 85' Yellow card L. Konomis Cyprus
  6. 85' Yellow card A. Cigaņiks Latvia
  7. 90+4' Goal M. Edwards (assist N. Tsaroulla) Cyprus
  8. 90+5' Yellow card M. Edwards Cyprus

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals89%1.13
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals41%2.43
Over 3.5 goals21%4.85
Over 4.5 goals9%11.52
Under 0.5 goals11%8.76
Under 1.5 goals31%3.24
Under 2.5 goals59%1.70
Under 3.5 goals79%1.26
Under 4.5 goals91%1.10
Both teams to score: Yes47%2.12
Both teams to score: No53%1.89

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.5

Cyprus 4.6 · Latvia 3.9

Total cornersOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.560%40%
8.547%53%
9.535%65%
10.524%76%

Expected cards: 3.7

Cyprus 1.9 · Latvia 1.7

Total cardsOverUnder
1.587%13%
2.570%30%
3.550%50%
4.531%69%
5.517%83%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

Cyprus 4.2 · Latvia 3.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.565%35%
7.551%49%
8.538%62%
9.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.3%
  2. 1–0 12.0%
  3. 0–0 11.4%
  4. 2–0 9.6%
  5. 2–1 8.9%
  6. 0–1 7.4%
  7. 1–2 5.9%
  8. 3–0 4.5%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Cyprus at home

3–1–3 in 7 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 7
Corners
4.3 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Latvia away

1–1–3 in 5 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 5
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
2.2 per game

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Cyprus vs Latvia head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Latvia v Cyprus 0–0
Cyprus v Latvia 1–1

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Cyprus vs Latvia head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away -0.5 handicap 23% 4.31
Away +0.5 handicap 54% 1.86
Draw/Away double chance 54% 1.86
Away Over 1.5 team goals 24% 4.22
Away +1.5 handicap 77% 1.30
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.66
Away clean sheet 25% 4.06
Away -1.5 handicap 9% 11.72
Home +1.5 handicap 91% 1.09
Home Over 0.5 team goals 75% 1.33
Home/Draw double chance 77% 1.30
Home/Away double chance 70% 1.44
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 14.91
Home +0.5 handicap 77% 1.30
Home clean sheet 40% 2.52
Home Over 1.5 team goals 41% 2.45
Home -0.5 handicap 46% 2.16
Home -1.5 handicap 23% 4.29
Home Over 2.5 team goals 17% 6.00