Netherlands vs Serbia match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Netherlands stats & fixtures · Serbia stats & fixtures
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 4 October 2026. Netherlands had 65% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Netherlands 76%, the draw 16% and Serbia 8%.
Netherlands vs Serbia match statistics
- 65% Ball possession 35%
- 22 Total shots 14
- 7 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 9
- 6 Blocked shots 1
- 14 Shots inside the box 8
- 6 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 13
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 618 Passes 328
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 14' Yellow card Stefan Gudelj Serbia
- 30' Yellow card S. Pavlović Serbia
- 31' Goal T. Koopmeiners Netherlands
- 35' Goal M. Cvetković (assist A. Terzić) Serbia
- 45' Yellow card T. Reijnders Netherlands
- 49' Yellow card S. Lukić Serbia
- 72' Goal J. Zirkzee (assist T. Reijnders) Netherlands
- 74' Yellow card N. Maksimović Serbia
- 83' Yellow card Serbia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 76%Netherlands fair odds 1.31
- 16%Draw fair odds 6.45
- 8%Serbia fair odds 12.40
Most likely score 2-0 (10.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 28.61 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.20 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Netherlands 4.9 · Serbia 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Netherlands 1.4 · Serbia 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Netherlands 6.0 · Serbia 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.2%
- 3–0 9.4%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 3–1 8.1%
- 1–1 7.1%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 4–0 6.5%
- 4–1 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Netherlands
Bench M. Flekken , J. Frimpong , J. Hato , R. Roefs , K. Taylor , G. Til , Q. Timber , J. Timber , G. Zechiël , J. Zirkzee , R. van Bommel , Nathan Aké
Serbia
Bench Strahinja Eraković , V. Dragojević , Nemanja Gudelj , D. Joveljic , L. Jović , F. Kostić , N. Maksimović , O. Mimovic , D. Rosić , N. Simić , F. Stanković , A. Živković
Form guide
Netherlands at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Serbia away
1–0–6 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 7
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Netherlands vs Serbia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Serbia v Netherlands | 1–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.24 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 24% | 4.24 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.32 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 15.92 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 18.02 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.75 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home clean sheet | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.40 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 38.37 |