Greece vs Germany match stats & report
0–0 Full time
Greece drew with Germany 0–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 4 October 2026. Germany had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Greece 21%, the draw 25% and Germany 54%.
Greece vs Germany match statistics
- 30% Ball possession 70%
- 5 Total shots 21
- 2 Shots on target 4
- 3 Shots off target 10
- 0 Blocked shots 7
- 5 Shots inside the box 10
- 2 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 17
- 1 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 267 Passes 640
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 23' Yellow card K. Tsimikas Greece
- 36' Yellow card W. Anton Germany
- 53' Yellow card C. Zafeiris Greece
- 66' Yellow card Philipp Treu Germany
- 73' Yellow card Greece
- 79' Yellow card M. Saliakas Greece
- 90' Yellow card M. Thiaw Germany
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 21%Greece fair odds 4.68
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.99
- 54%Germany fair odds 1.87
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.77 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.23 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.41 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.45 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Greece 3.6 · Germany 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Greece 2.0 · Germany 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Greece 3.1 · Germany 5.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 1–2 9.8%
- 0–2 8.6%
- 0–1 7.7%
- 1–3 6.2%
- 0–0 6.1%
- 2–1 5.9%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Greece
Bench T. Douvikas , T. Androutsos , O. Vlachodimos , K. Karetsas , Charalampos Kostoulas , Georgios Kyriakopoulos , C. Mandas , G. Michailidis , C. Mouzakitis , D. Pelkas , P. Retsos , Triantafyllos Tsapras
Germany
Bench N. Woltemade , M. Mittelstadt , F. Keidel , Finn Jeltsch , V. Janelt , Yannick Engelhardt , S. El Mala , F. Dahmen , B. Conté , M. Baur , N. Atubolu , R. Baku
Form guide
Greece at home
1–2–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Germany away
4–2–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 7
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Greece vs Germany head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Germany v Greece | 0–1 | |
| Germany v Greece | 2–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 32% | 3.15 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.39 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.13 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 15% | 6.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.68 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.46 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.25 |