Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel match stats & report

1–1 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League B - 4 · Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola · Ref Juan Martinez Munuera

Rep. Of Ireland stats & fixtures · Israel stats & fixtures

Rep. Of Ireland drew with Israel 1–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on 4 October 2026. Rep. Of Ireland had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rep. Of Ireland 34%, the draw 31% and Israel 35%.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel match statistics

Rep. Of IrelandIsrael

Goals and cards

  1. 28' Yellow card I. Nachmias Israel
  2. 38' Yellow card Dor Peretz Israel
  3. 39' Penalty scored T. Parrott Rep. Of Ireland
  4. 44' Yellow card L. Scales Rep. Of Ireland
  5. 47' Goal Dor Peretz Israel
  6. 90+2' Yellow card Y. Levi Israel

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.12
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.38
Over 4.5 goals10%9.98
Under 0.5 goals10%9.57
Under 1.5 goals28%3.52
Under 2.5 goals56%1.78
Under 3.5 goals77%1.30
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.95
Both teams to score: No49%2.05

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.6

Rep. Of Ireland 4.4 · Israel 4.1

Total cornersOverUnder
6.573%27%
7.561%39%
8.548%52%
9.536%64%
10.525%75%

Expected cards: 3.4

Rep. Of Ireland 2.0 · Israel 1.5

Total cardsOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.545%55%
4.527%73%
5.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.4

Rep. Of Ireland 4.0 · Israel 4.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.559%41%
8.546%54%
9.534%66%
10.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.7%
  2. 0–0 10.5%
  3. 0–1 9.0%
  4. 1–0 9.0%
  5. 1–2 7.9%
  6. 2–1 7.9%
  7. 0–2 6.5%
  8. 2–0 6.5%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Rep. Of Ireland at home

4–3–0 in 7 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
0.4 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 7
Corners
6.3 per game
Shots on target
5.1 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Israel away

1–3–3 in 7 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 7
Corners
3.1 per game
Shots on target
1.9 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Israel v Rep. Of Ireland 0–3

Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.42
Away -0.5 handicap 35% 2.88
Away +0.5 handicap 66% 1.53
Draw/Away double chance 66% 1.53
Away Over 1.5 team goals 34% 2.90
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.02
Away +1.5 handicap 85% 1.18
Away clean sheet 30% 3.37
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.42
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.18
Home/Away double chance 69% 1.45
Home Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.42
Home +0.5 handicap 65% 1.53
Home/Draw double chance 65% 1.53
Home clean sheet 30% 3.39
Home Over 1.5 team goals 34% 2.92
Home -0.5 handicap 34% 2.90
Home Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.08
Home -1.5 handicap 15% 6.48