Wales vs Denmark match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Wales lost to Denmark 0–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on 4 October 2026. Wales had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Wales 18%, the draw 28% and Denmark 54%.
Wales vs Denmark match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 6 Total shots 13
- 1 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 6
- 0 Blocked shots 3
- 4 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 564 Passes 439
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 29' Yellow card L. Cullen Wales
- 66' Yellow card B. Cabango Wales
- 75' Penalty scored R. Højlund Denmark
- 80' Yellow card S. Thomas Wales
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 18%Wales fair odds 5.56
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.60
- 54%Denmark fair odds 1.84
Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 9.59 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.99 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.90 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Wales 3.1 · Denmark 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Wales 1.9 · Denmark 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Wales 3.0 · Denmark 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4540 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.1%
- 0–1 12.3%
- 0–2 11.2%
- 0–0 10.0%
- 1–2 9.4%
- 0–3 6.0%
- 1–0 5.7%
- 1–3 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Wales
Bench J. Colwill , W. Burns , D. Cornell , M. Harris , D. James , T. King , J. Lienou , C. Mepham , K. Moore , C. Roberts , J. Sheehan , Cian Ashford
Denmark
Bench M. Kvistgaarden , Andreas Skov Olsen , Victor Nelsson , Andreas Jungdal , T. Jørgensen , F. Jörgensen , L. Høgsberg , K. Hogh , A. Gaaei , A. Daghim , M. Bidstrup
Form guide
Wales at home
2–2–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Denmark away
2–1–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 5
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Wales vs Denmark head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Denmark v Wales | 2–0 | |
| Wales v Denmark | 0–4 | |
| Wales v Denmark | 1–2 | |
| Denmark v Wales | 2–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 5.06 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.50 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.56 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.82 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.29 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 18.51 |