Spain vs Czechia match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Spain beat Czechia 3–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 3 October 2026. Spain had 69% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Spain 84%, the draw 11% and Czechia 4%.
Spain vs Czechia match statistics
- 69% Ball possession 31%
- 18 Total shots 5
- 10 Shots on target 2
- 5 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 0
- 13 Shots inside the box 2
- 5 Corners 0
- 11 Fouls 13
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 1
- 766 Passes 341
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal Lamine Yamal (assist Dani Olmo) Spain
- 35' Goal Rodri Spain
- 69' Goal Jiří Sláma (assist A. Hložek) Czechia
- 79' Yellow card L. Krejci Czechia
- 82' Yellow card M. Sadílek Czechia
- 85' Red card L. Krejci Czechia
- 85' Yellow card Czechia
- 89' Yellow card O. Lingr Czechia
- 89' Goal Mikel Merino Spain
- 90' Yellow card S. Chaloupek Czechia
- 90+1' Yellow card A. Kinský Czechia
- 90+3' Yellow card Fermín Spain
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 84%Spain fair odds 1.19
- 11%Draw fair odds 8.77
- 4%Czechia fair odds 23.33
Most likely score 3-0 (11.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 33.81 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10% | 9.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: No | 53% | 1.88 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Spain 5.9 · Czechia 2.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Spain 1.4 · Czechia 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Spain 6.4 · Czechia 2.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 3–0 11.6%
- 2–0 11.2%
- 4–0 9.0%
- 3–1 7.6%
- 2–1 7.4%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 4–1 5.9%
- 5–0 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Spain
Bench Marc Cucurella , Fermín , D. Huijsen , Josep Martínez , Mikel Merino , Víctor Muñoz , Mikel Oyarzabal , Yeremy Pino , Marc Pubill , Unai Simón , M. Zubimendi
Czechia
Bench L. Horníček , R. Hranáč , M. Kovář , O. Kricfalusi , R. Naderi , M. Sadílek , M. Šubert , Daniel Vašulín , M. Vitík , O. Zmrzlý , P. Bucha , L. Červ
Form guide
Spain at home
6–4–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 7.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.0 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Czechia away
0–0–4 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Spain vs Czechia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Spain v Czechia | 2–0 | |
| Czechia v Spain | 2–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 16% | 6.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.06 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 14% | 7.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 34.17 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Away double chance | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away clean sheet | 5% | 22.15 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home clean sheet | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.37 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 4% | 23.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 85.96 |