Belarus vs San Marino match stats & report
4–0 Full time
Belarus stats & fixtures · San Marino stats & fixtures
Belarus beat San Marino 4–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 3) on 3 October 2026. Belarus had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Belarus 88%, the draw 11% and San Marino 1%.
Belarus vs San Marino match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 15 Total shots 10
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 5
- 6 Corners 4
- 16 Fouls 20
- 0 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 489 Passes 338
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 30' Yellow card N. Nanni San Marino
- 42' Yellow card A. Golinucci San Marino
- 46' Goal A. Kontsevoy (assist K. Pechenin) Belarus
- 54' Yellow card R. Begunov Belarus
- 57' Yellow card N. Giacopetti San Marino
- 65' Goal A. Shumanskiy (assist K. Pechenin) Belarus
- 68' Goal Max Ebong (assist K. Pechenin) Belarus
- 73' Yellow card L. Capicchioni San Marino
- 78' Yellow card M. Pasolini San Marino
- 85' Yellow card G. Barkovskiy Belarus
- 86' Yellow card V. Kalinin Belarus
- 88' Goal A. Kontsevoy (assist A. Shumanskiy) Belarus
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 88%Belarus fair odds 1.14
- 11%Draw fair odds 9.13
- 1%San Marino fair odds 74.40
Most likely score 2-0 (20.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.02 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 17% | 5.97 |
| Both teams to score: No | 83% | 1.20 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Belarus 6.9 · San Marino 2.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Belarus 1.9 · San Marino 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Belarus 6.6 · San Marino 1.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 20.9%
- 3–0 17.7%
- 1–0 16.1%
- 4–0 11.3%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 5–0 5.7%
- 2–1 4.1%
- 1–1 3.6%
Team news & lineups
Belarus
Bench G. Barkovskiy , Fedor Lapoukhov , V. Bocherov , D. Galyata , A. Kudravets , A. Kovalev , Vitaliy Lisakovich , V. Kalinin , A. Lukashov , E. Malashevich , A. Shumanskiy , I. Tikhomirov
San Marino
Bench M. Mularoni , D. Rossi , A. Tosi , M. De Angelis , F. Fabbri, Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz, G. Bugli, Balda Enea Della, Lyes Hoël, C. Meloni, Nicholas Protti , S. Pancotti
Form guide
Belarus at home
3–2–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
San Marino away
0–0–6 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 4.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 1.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Belarus vs San Marino head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| San Marino v Belarus | 0–2 | |
| Belarus v San Marino | 5–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.05 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 12% | 8.13 |
| Home clean sheet | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.13 |
| Away clean sheet | 8% | 12.69 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 18% | 5.64 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 2% | 59.66 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | <1% | 931.86 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 1% | 74.40 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | <1% | 645.41 |