Croatia vs England match stats & report
0–7 Full time
Croatia lost to England 0–7 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 3 October 2026. England had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Croatia 27%, the draw 26% and England 46%.
Croatia vs England match statistics
- 36% Ball possession 64%
- 12 Total shots 19
- 1 Shots on target 10
- 6 Shots off target 6
- 5 Blocked shots 3
- 5 Shots inside the box 16
- 1 Corners 6
- 10 Fouls 6
- 0 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 423 Passes 746
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 8' Goal H. Kane (assist J. Bellingham) England
- 21' Goal J. Bellingham (assist A. Gordon) England
- 39' Goal A. Gordon (assist J. Quansah) England
- 45' Goal B. Saka (assist J. Bellingham) England
- 53' Goal H. Kane (assist E. Anderson) England
- 68' Goal B. Saka (assist H. Kane) England
- 68' Yellow card M. Kovačić Croatia
- 87' Goal M. Rogers (assist J. Bellingham) England
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 27%Croatia fair odds 3.64
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.84
- 46%England fair odds 2.15
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.93 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.65 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Croatia 3.7 · England 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Croatia 1.7 · England 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Croatia 3.5 · England 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 9.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 1–2 9.4%
- 0–2 7.1%
- 2–1 7.0%
- 0–1 6.6%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 0–0 5.9%
- 1–3 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Croatia
Bench D. Kotarski , K. Jakic , A. Kramarić , Igor Matanović , J. Mišić , I. Pandur , Mario Pašalić , M. Pasalic , I. Smolčić , L. Sučić , J. Sutalo , N. Vlašić
England
Bench J. Trafford , Jason Steele , M. Rogers , R. Ngumoha , M. Lewis-Skelly , M. Gibbs-White , J. Garner , E. Eze , T. Chalobah , D. Calvert-Lewin , T. Alexander-Arnold , J. Branthwaite
Form guide
Croatia at home
4–0–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
England away
7–1–0 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 3.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 8
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.6 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Croatia vs England head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| England v Croatia | 4–2 | |
| England v Croatia | 1–0 | |
| England v Croatia | 2–1 | |
| Croatia v England | 0–0 | |
| Croatia v England | 2–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.70 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.03 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.64 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 54% | 1.87 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home clean sheet | 17% | 5.86 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.85 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.77 |