Finland vs Albania match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Finland beat Albania 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 3) on 3 October 2026. Finland had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Finland 44%, the draw 32% and Albania 23%.
Finland vs Albania match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 11 Total shots 14
- 3 Shots on target 5
- 4 Shots off target 6
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 3 Shots inside the box 12
- 7 Corners 6
- 13 Fouls 10
- 1 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 1
- 605 Passes 397
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 4' Goal R. Manaj (assist K. Asllani) Albania
- 22' Red card E. Berisha Albania
- 26' Goal L. Walta Finland
- 26' Yellow card A. Sherri Albania
- 40' Yellow card K. Kairinen Finland
- 71' Goal L. Walta Finland
- 74' Yellow card B. Djimsiti Albania
- 80' Yellow card M. Uzuni Albania
- 80' Yellow card A. Mehmeti Albania
- 81' Yellow card Albania
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Finland fair odds 2.26
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.09
- 23%Albania fair odds 4.26
Most likely score 1-1 (14.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.07 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 15.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14% | 7.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36% | 2.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.75 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 7.8
Finland 3.9 · Albania 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 7.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Finland 1.5 · Albania 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 6.9
Finland 3.5 · Albania 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 5.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 7.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 8.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.7%
- 0–0 13.7%
- 1–0 13.5%
- 2–0 9.6%
- 0–1 8.6%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 0–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Finland
Bench B. Källman , Oiva Jukkola , L. Bergström , G. Kamara , T. Keskinen , R. Mahuta , M. Peltola , V. Sinisalo , A. Suhonen , S. Vaananen , L. Vaisanen , O. Valakari
Albania
Bench Mario Dajsinani , M. Daku , F. Fetai , M. Kumbulla , A. Mehmeti , T. Seferi , J. Shehu , A. Sherri , C. Shpendi , M. Uzuni , N. Aliji , K. Cake
Form guide
Finland at home
3–1–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.8 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Albania away
3–0–3 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.80 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.78 |
| Home clean sheet | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.45 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 21% | 4.74 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.97 |