Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Bosnia & Herzegovina stats & fixtures · Sweden stats & fixtures
Bosnia & Herzegovina drew with Sweden 1–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on 2 October 2026. Sweden had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bosnia & Herzegovina 19%, the draw 25% and Sweden 56%.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden match statistics
- 44% Ball possession 56%
- 4 Total shots 8
- 2 Shots on target 4
- 0 Shots off target 2
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 2 Shots inside the box 6
- 4 Corners 0
- 8 Fouls 11
- 0 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 471 Passes 466
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 61' Goal V. Gyökeres (assist A. Bernhardsson) Sweden
- 80' Goal Kerim-Sam Alajbegović Bosnia & Herzegovina
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 19%Bosnia & Herzegovina fair odds 5.27
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.95
- 56%Sweden fair odds 1.79
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.23 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Bosnia & Herzegovina 4.1 · Sweden 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.1 · Sweden 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Bosnia & Herzegovina 3.7 · Sweden 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 1–2 9.9%
- 0–2 9.8%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 1–3 6.1%
- 0–3 6.0%
- 2–1 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bench Luka Đurić , Mladen Jurkas , J. Lukić , Ermin Mahmić , A. Malic , Nihad Mujakić , N. Omerović , S. Radeljic , Z. Smajlovic , Ivan Šunjić , H. Tabaković , M. Zlomislić
Sweden
Bench S. Dahl , H. Bolin , Felix Beijmo , N. Törnqvist , W. Swedberg , D. Svensson , E. Smith , Ken Sema , M. Ellborg , L. Bergvall , P. Abraham
Form guide
Bosnia & Herzegovina at home
3–2–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 5
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sweden away
2–2–4 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 8
- Corners
- 3.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.51 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.41 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.71 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.27 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.03 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 7% | 13.85 |