Hungary vs Georgia match stats & report

1–0 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League B - 3 · Puskás Aréna, Budapest · Ref Srdjan Jovanovic

Hungary stats & fixtures · Georgia stats & fixtures

Hungary beat Georgia 1–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on 2 October 2026. Georgia had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hungary 52%, the draw 28% and Georgia 20%.

Hungary vs Georgia match statistics

HungaryGeorgia

Goals and cards

  1. 33' Yellow card O. Kiteishvili Georgia
  2. 35' Goal M. Kerkez (assist D. Lukacs) Hungary
  3. 67' Yellow card G. Kochorashvili Georgia
  4. 74' Yellow card M. Kerkez Hungary
  5. 82' Yellow card Tamás Szücs Hungary
  6. 85' Yellow card M. Vitális Hungary

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals26%3.78
Over 4.5 goals12%8.14
Under 0.5 goals9%11.20
Under 1.5 goals25%3.97
Under 2.5 goals52%1.93
Under 3.5 goals74%1.36
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.96
Both teams to score: No49%2.05

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.1

Hungary 4.9 · Georgia 3.2

Total cornersOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.555%45%
8.542%58%
9.530%70%
10.520%80%

Expected cards: 4.2

Hungary 2.0 · Georgia 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
2.579%21%
3.560%40%
4.542%58%
5.526%74%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.0

Hungary 4.9 · Georgia 3.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.567%33%
7.554%46%
8.541%59%
9.529%71%
10.520%80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.2%
  2. 1–0 10.7%
  3. 2–0 10.1%
  4. 2–1 9.6%
  5. 0–0 8.9%
  6. 0–1 5.5%
  7. 1–2 5.5%
  8. 3–0 5.5%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Hungary at home

5–1–2 in 8 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 8
Corners
6.0 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Georgia away

1–1–4 in 6 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
2.4 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 2.5 team goals 23% 4.36
Home -1.5 handicap 29% 3.44
Home Over 1.5 team goals 49% 2.04
Home -0.5 handicap 52% 1.91
Home +0.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home/Draw double chance 80% 1.25
Home Over 0.5 team goals 81% 1.24
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Home clean sheet 39% 2.59
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals 61% 1.63
Away +1.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Away Over 1.5 team goals 25% 4.05
Away +0.5 handicap 48% 2.09
Draw/Away double chance 48% 2.09
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 13.94
Away -0.5 handicap 20% 4.94
Away clean sheet 19% 5.20
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 13.36