Hungary vs Georgia match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Hungary beat Georgia 1–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on 2 October 2026. Georgia had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hungary 52%, the draw 28% and Georgia 20%.
Hungary vs Georgia match statistics
- 42% Ball possession 58%
- 26 Total shots 8
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 10 Shots off target 3
- 8 Blocked shots 2
- 17 Shots inside the box 6
- 8 Corners 4
- 18 Fouls 17
- 1 Offsides 4
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 323 Passes 468
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 33' Yellow card O. Kiteishvili Georgia
- 35' Goal M. Kerkez (assist D. Lukacs) Hungary
- 67' Yellow card G. Kochorashvili Georgia
- 74' Yellow card M. Kerkez Hungary
- 82' Yellow card Tamás Szücs Hungary
- 85' Yellow card M. Vitális Hungary
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 52%Hungary fair odds 1.91
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.63
- 20%Georgia fair odds 4.94
Most likely score 1-1 (13.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.78 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.20 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.05 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Hungary 4.9 · Georgia 3.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Hungary 2.0 · Georgia 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.0
Hungary 4.9 · Georgia 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.2%
- 1–0 10.7%
- 2–0 10.1%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 1–2 5.5%
- 3–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Hungary
Bench Á. Doktorics , M. Vitális , B. Varkonyi , Rajmund Tóth , Tamás Szücs , J. Szalai , D. Barany , Á. Csongvai , B. Gundel-Takács , G. Jurek , Ákos Markgráf , Á. Pécsi
Georgia
Bench J. Tabidze , Saba Sazonov , A. Mekvabishvili , G. Mamageishvili , S. Lobjanidze , G. Kvernadze , G. Kochorashvili , L. Gugeshashvili , Z. Davitashvili , G. Abuashvili , B. Zivzivadze , D. Kereselidze
Form guide
Hungary at home
5–1–2 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 8
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Georgia away
1–1–4 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.44 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.94 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 13.36 |