Poland vs Romania match stats & report
6–0 Full time
Poland beat Romania 6–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on 2 October 2026. Poland had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Poland 58%, the draw 25% and Romania 17%.
Poland vs Romania match statistics
- 67% Ball possession 33%
- 24 Total shots 10
- 9 Shots on target 3
- 9 Shots off target 3
- 6 Blocked shots 4
- 18 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 1
- 9 Fouls 11
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 1
- 674 Passes 338
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 22' Red card R. Drăgușin Romania
- 24' Penalty scored R. Lewandowski Poland
- 35' Yellow card V. Ghiță Romania
- 39' Yellow card Tudor Băluță Romania
- 42' Yellow card R. Lewandowski Poland
- 47' Goal R. Lewandowski (assist Nicola Zalewski) Poland
- 49' Own goal V. Ghiță Poland
- 57' Yellow card K. Świderski Poland
- 62' Goal P. Zieliński Poland
- 66' Goal J. Bednarek (assist S. Szymański) Poland
- 73' Yellow card Andrei Borza Romania
- 86' Goal R. Lewandowski (assist O. Pietuszewski) Poland
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 58%Poland fair odds 1.73
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.04
- 17%Romania fair odds 5.73
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Poland 4.8 · Romania 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Poland 2.0 · Romania 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Poland 4.4 · Romania 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–0 10.2%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 9.4%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 3–0 6.5%
- 3–1 6.3%
- 1–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Poland
Bench T. Kędziora , S. Abramowicz , M. Kochalski , O. Pietuszewski , K. Potulski , T. Puchacz , M. Reguła , M. Skóraś , B. Slisz , K. UrbaÅ„ski , N. Wojtuszek , M. Żukowski
Romania
Bench Alexandru Cicâldău , F. Tănase , T. Strata , Nicolae Stanciu , I. Radu , O. Moruțan , A. Coubiș , V. Cojocaru , C. Cîrjan , Andrei Borza , M. Marin , B. Racovițan
Form guide
Poland at home
3–3–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 7
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Romania away
0–1–5 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 1.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Poland vs Romania head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Poland v Romania | 3–1 | |
| Romania v Poland | 0–3 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.70 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.64 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.86 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.73 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 3.95 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.54 |