Belgium vs Türkiye match stats & report
3–0 Full time
Belgium beat Türkiye 3–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 2 October 2026. Belgium had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Belgium 77%, the draw 15% and Türkiye 8%.
Belgium vs Türkiye match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 17 Total shots 23
- 10 Shots on target 8
- 5 Shots off target 10
- 2 Blocked shots 5
- 11 Shots inside the box 10
- 2 Corners 5
- 12 Fouls 12
- 0 Offsides 1
- 4 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 522 Passes 440
- 8 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 10' Goal K. De Bruyne (assist D. Lukebakio) Belgium
- 26' Yellow card D. Lukebakio Belgium
- 30' Yellow card Y. Tielemans Belgium
- 56' Yellow card Abdülkerim Bardakcı Türkiye
- 59' Goal K. De Bruyne (assist Y. Tielemans) Belgium
- 71' Yellow card M. Demiral Türkiye
- 76' Goal Romelu Lukaku (assist C. De Ketelaere) Belgium
- 80' Yellow card K. De Bruyne Belgium
- 90+2' Yellow card A. Guler Türkiye
- 90+2' Yellow card N. Ngoy Belgium
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 77%Belgium fair odds 1.30
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.66
- 8%Türkiye fair odds 12.12
Most likely score 2-0 (9.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 32.75 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10% | 9.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.34 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Belgium 5.6 · Türkiye 3.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Belgium 1.5 · Türkiye 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Belgium 5.5 · Türkiye 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4507 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 9.4%
- 3–0 9.0%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 3–1 8.2%
- 1–1 6.7%
- 4–0 6.4%
- 4–1 5.9%
- 1–0 5.8%
Team news & lineups
Belgium
Bench K. De Winter , Z. Debast , M. Fofana , R. Lavia , Romelu Lukaku , L. Openda , M. Penders , N. Raskin , J. Seys , A. Theate , L. Trossard , M. Vandevoordt
Türkiye
Bench E. Topçu , Demir Ege Tıknaz , Muhammed Şengezer , S. Özcan , İrfan Can Kahveci , O. Kabak , Deniz Gül , I. Fakili , Mustafa Eskihellaç , Eren Elmalı , Yunus Akgün , A. Bayındır
Form guide
Belgium at home
3–4–1 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 8
- Corners
- 6.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.1 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Türkiye away
3–1–3 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.32 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.46 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 17.65 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 12.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 36.32 |