Kazakhstan vs Moldova match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Kazakhstan stats & fixtures · Moldova stats & fixtures
Kazakhstan lost to Moldova 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 3) on 2 October 2026. Kazakhstan had 65% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kazakhstan 60%, the draw 26% and Moldova 14%.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova match statistics
- 65% Ball possession 35%
- 19 Total shots 16
- 4 Shots on target 8
- 9 Shots off target 8
- 6 Blocked shots 0
- 10 Shots inside the box 9
- 11 Corners 4
- 10 Fouls 10
- 0 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 584 Passes 317
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 45+1' Goal N. Cleșcenco Moldova
- 50' Goal P. Popescu (assist S. Perciun) Moldova
- 64' Goal N. Alip (assist B. Islamkhan) Kazakhstan
- 80' Yellow card G. Kenzhebek Kazakhstan
- 89' Yellow card Y. Vorogovskiy Kazakhstan
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 60%Kazakhstan fair odds 1.66
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.86
- 14%Moldova fair odds 7.21
Most likely score 1-0 (13.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 9.56 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.79 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Kazakhstan 4.2 · Moldova 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Kazakhstan 2.0 · Moldova 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Kazakhstan 4.2 · Moldova 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 9.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4505 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 13.3%
- 2–0 12.8%
- 1–1 12.1%
- 0–0 9.9%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 3–0 7.4%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 0–1 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Kazakhstan
Bench Temirlan Anarbekov , Zhasulan Amir , S. Basmanov , Damir Kasabulat , A. Kasym , Sergey Maliy , Artur Shushenachev , Erkin Tapalov , Azamat Tuyakbayev , Nauryzbek Zhagorov , Georgy Zhukov , Bekkhan Shayzada
Moldova
Bench S. Cojocari , C. Cucos , O. David , D. Dumbrăvanu , D. Forov , D. Mandrîcenco , N. Moțpan , M. Ștefan , V. Stina , A. Kozhukhar , Ș. Bodișteanu , E. Tîmbur
Form guide
Kazakhstan at home
3–2–1 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 6
- Corners
- 7.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Moldova away
1–2–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 7
- Corners
- 2.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan v Moldova | 0–1 | |
| Moldova v Kazakhstan | 1–2 | |
| Kazakhstan v Moldova | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.83 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.95 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home clean sheet | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 17% | 6.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.70 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.21 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 23.50 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 26.51 |