Malta vs Gibraltar match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Malta drew with Gibraltar 1–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League D - 3) on 1 October 2026. Malta had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Malta 75%, the draw 20% and Gibraltar 6%.
Malta vs Gibraltar match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 17 Total shots 9
- 5 Shots on target 2
- 8 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 12 Shots inside the box 4
- 8 Corners 1
- 16 Fouls 8
- 5 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 519 Passes 334
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 22' Yellow card Graeme Torrilla Gibraltar
- 53' Goal J. Mbong (assist I. Chouaref) Malta
- 61' Goal James Scanlon Gibraltar
- 63' Yellow card I. Chouaref Malta
- 72' Yellow card J. Mbong Malta
- 90+1' Yellow card Z. Muscat Malta
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 75%Malta fair odds 1.34
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.12
- 6%Gibraltar fair odds 17.56
Most likely score 2-0 (17.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.47 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 31% | 3.18 |
| Both teams to score: No | 69% | 1.46 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 7.9
Malta 5.3 · Gibraltar 2.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Malta 2.1 · Gibraltar 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.4
Malta 5.4 · Gibraltar 2.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 9.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 17.6%
- 1–0 16.2%
- 3–0 12.0%
- 0–0 9.4%
- 1–1 8.4%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 4–0 6.1%
- 3–1 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Malta
Bench M. Beerman , R. Al Tumi , J. Borg , K. Ewurum , J. Grech , P. Mbong , Z. Muscat , B. Paiber , A. Zammit , C. Lonardelli , J. Sissons , Gabriel Bohrer Mentz
Gibraltar
Bench H. Stevens , A. Pons , Ethan Britto , D. Borge , B. Banda , Jaiden Bartolo , J. Garro, J. Gomez, Victor Huart Guerra, Liam Jessop , Leon Mason , Ethan Llambias
Form guide
Malta at home
2–1–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Gibraltar away
1–1–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 1.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Malta vs Gibraltar head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Malta v Gibraltar | 1–0 | |
| Malta v Gibraltar | 2–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 94% | 1.06 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.96 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Home clean sheet | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 25% | 3.96 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.73 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 7% | 14.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 103.47 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 6% | 17.56 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 84.06 |