Wales vs Norway match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Wales beat Norway 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 1 October 2026. Wales had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Wales 25%, the draw 29% and Norway 46%.
Wales vs Norway match statistics
- 55% Ball possession 45%
- 12 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 3
- 1 Blocked shots 5
- 7 Shots inside the box 7
- 3 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 7
- 3 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 520 Passes 519
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 11' Goal Oscar Bobb (assist M. Ødegaard) Norway
- 37' Yellow card J. James Wales
- 38' Goal D. James (assist S. Thomas) Wales
- 46' Red card T. Heggem Norway
- 48' Goal N. Williams Wales
- 90+3' Yellow card S. Thomas Wales
- 90+3' Yellow card M. Ødegaard Norway
- 90+3' Yellow card E. Ampadu Wales
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 25%Wales fair odds 3.97
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.50
- 46%Norway fair odds 2.16
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.90 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.37 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.06 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Wales 3.3 · Norway 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Wales 1.8 · Norway 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.4
Wales 3.6 · Norway 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 6.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 7.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 0–1 9.6%
- 1–2 9.3%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 0–2 8.6%
- 2–1 6.6%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 2–2 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Wales
Bench W. Burns , Cian Ashford , J. Colwill , D. Cornell , M. Harris , B. Johnson , T. King , C. Mepham , K. Moore , R. Norrington-Davies , C. Roberts , J. Sheehan
Norway
Bench S. Tangvik , F. Sjøvold , E. Selvik , M. Pedersen , L. Østigård , A. Nusa , J. Strand Larsen , E. Botheim , O. Blomberg , O. L. Bjortuft , T. Aasgaard , P. Berg
Form guide
Wales at home
2–2–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Norway away
4–1–3 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 8
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 21% | 4.67 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.97 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.78 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.33 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.96 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.11 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.96 |