Greece vs Netherlands match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Greece stats & fixtures · Netherlands stats & fixtures
Greece drew with Netherlands 2–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 1 October 2026. Netherlands had 71% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Greece 19%, the draw 26% and Netherlands 56%.
Greece vs Netherlands match statistics
- 29% Ball possession 71%
- 8 Total shots 19
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 2 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 9
- 8 Shots inside the box 14
- 6 Corners 8
- 6 Fouls 7
- 3 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 250 Passes 619
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 23' Goal F. Ioannidis (assist G. Masouras) Greece
- 45+2' Goal G. Masouras (assist F. Ioannidis) Greece
- 59' Goal V. van Dijk (assist J. Veerman) Netherlands
- 67' Yellow card K. Tzolakis Greece
- 76' Yellow card N. Lang Netherlands
- 76' Yellow card M. Saliakas Greece
- 89' Goal T. Reijnders Netherlands
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 19%Greece fair odds 5.35
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.89
- 56%Netherlands fair odds 1.80
Most likely score 1-1 (12.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.60 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
Greece 3.8 · Netherlands 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Greece 1.8 · Netherlands 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Greece 3.2 · Netherlands 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 9.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.3%
- 0–2 10.1%
- 1–2 9.9%
- 0–1 9.7%
- 0–0 7.5%
- 0–3 6.1%
- 1–3 6.0%
- 2–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Greece
Bench Charalampos Kostoulas , T. Douvikas , K. Koulierakis , Georgios Kyriakopoulos , C. Mandas , G. Masouras , G. Michailidis , C. Mouzakitis , Andreas Tetteh , Triantafyllos Tsapras , O. Vlachodimos , C. Zafeiris
Netherlands
Bench J. Zirkzee , G. Zechiël , K. Taylor , R. Roefs , T. Reijnders , N. Lang , T. Koopmeiners , J. Hato , R. Gravenberch , J. Frimpong , Nathan Aké , M. Flekken
Form guide
Greece at home
1–2–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Netherlands away
3–2–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Greece vs Netherlands head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Greece v Netherlands | 0–1 | |
| Netherlands v Greece | 3–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.06 |
| Away clean sheet | 38% | 2.66 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.80 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.25 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 44% | 2.25 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.90 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.35 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.34 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 13.06 |