Germany vs Serbia match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Germany beat Serbia 2–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on 1 October 2026. Germany had 74% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Germany 75%, the draw 15% and Serbia 9%.
Germany vs Serbia match statistics
- 74% Ball possession 26%
- 32 Total shots 1
- 8 Shots on target 1
- 17 Shots off target 0
- 7 Blocked shots 0
- 21 Shots inside the box 0
- 12 Corners 1
- 10 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 734 Passes 266
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 39' Goal T. Bischof Germany
- 61' Goal F. Wirtz (assist M. Mittelstadt) Germany
- 73' Yellow card Nemanja Gudelj Serbia
- 79' Yellow card Serbia
- 79' Yellow card N. Maksimović Serbia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 75%Germany fair odds 1.33
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.49
- 9%Serbia fair odds 10.66
Most likely score 2-1 (8.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 35.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9% | 10.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25% | 3.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.54 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
Germany 4.9 · Serbia 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Germany 1.6 · Serbia 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Germany 6.0 · Serbia 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 8.5%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 3–1 8.2%
- 3–0 8.2%
- 1–1 6.7%
- 4–1 6.0%
- 4–0 5.9%
- 1–0 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Germany
Bench R. Baku , D. Raum , L. Karl , Finn Jeltsch , V. Janelt , Yannick Engelhardt , S. El Mala , N. Atubolu , M. Baur , J. Burkardt , B. Conté , F. Dahmen
Serbia
Bench A. Terzić , M. Cvetković , D. Joveljic , F. Stanković , A. Stanković , N. Simić , Lazar Samardžić , S. Pavlović , O. Mimovic , V. Milinković-Savić , S. Lukić , Vasilije Kostov
Form guide
Germany at home
7–0–1 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 3.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 8
- Corners
- 8.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.5 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Serbia away
1–0–6 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 7
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Germany vs Serbia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Germany v Serbia | 1–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.76 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 25% | 4.04 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 18.09 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.73 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 9% | 10.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 30.18 |