Atletico Nacional vs Junior match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Atletico Nacional stats & fixtures · Junior stats & fixtures
Atletico Nacional beat Junior 3–1 in the Primera A (Clausura - 3) on 1 October 2026. Atletico Nacional had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico Nacional 61%, the draw 23% and Junior 16%.
Atletico Nacional vs Junior match statistics
- 58% Ball possession 42%
- 19 Total shots 9
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 10 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 2
- 9 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 5
- 14 Fouls 15
- 0 Offsides 4
- 5 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 416 Passes 294
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 8' Goal A. Sarmiento (assist N. Parra) Atletico Nacional
- 17' Goal A. Roman (assist J. Rodriguez) Atletico Nacional
- 20' Yellow card N. Parra Atletico Nacional
- 22' Yellow card D. Caicedo Junior
- 24' Goal G. Paiva (assist B. Castrillón) Junior
- 52' Yellow card E. Cabrera Atletico Nacional
- 65' Yellow card P. Ortíz Junior
- 65' Yellow card M. Casco Atletico Nacional
- 70' Yellow card F. Ángel Junior
- 71' Goal A. Roman (assist I. Poveda) Atletico Nacional
- 74' Yellow card E. Cardona Atletico Nacional
- 77' Yellow card I. Poveda Atletico Nacional
- 89' Yellow card J. Peña Junior
- 90+2' Yellow card D. Rivera Junior
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 61%Atletico Nacional fair odds 1.64
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.38
- 16%Junior fair odds 6.21
Most likely score 1-1 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.51 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.24 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Atletico Nacional 6.5 · Junior 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 5.9
Atletico Nacional 3.2 · Junior 2.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 5.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 6.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 7.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected shots on target: 10.0
Atletico Nacional 6.7 · Junior 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (404 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.8%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 2–0 10.4%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 0–0 6.1%
- 2–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Atletico Nacional
Bench E. Cardona , C. Haydar , K. Parra , J. Rosa , M. Uribe , J. Zapata , X. Rios , L. Marquinez
Junior
Bench J. Acosta , C. Barrios , L. Muriel , Jesús Rivas , H. Rivera , J. Sarmiento , Daniel Socarras , D. Villarreal , G. Celis
Form guide
Atletico Nacional at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Junior away
2–1–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico Nacional vs Junior head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional v Junior | 1–0 | |
| Junior v Atletico Nacional | 3–0 | |
| Junior v Atletico Nacional | 0–4 | |
| Junior v Atletico Nacional | 2–1 | |
| Atletico Nacional v Junior | 1–1 | |
| Junior v Atletico Nacional | 2–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.92 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.21 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.63 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 13.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 32% | 3.09 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.69 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.39 |