Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United prediction, stats & H2H
Orlando Pirates stats & fixtures · Sekhukhune United stats & fixtures
Orlando Pirates take on Sekhukhune United in the Carling Knockout (Quarter-finals) on 6 November 2026. The Ghost makes Orlando Pirates favourites at 75%, with the draw at 19%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 16.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 34%.
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United prediction
The Ghost: Orlando Pirates to win, 75%
- 75%Orlando Pirates fair odds 1.34
- 19%Draw fair odds 5.20
- 6%Sekhukhune United fair odds 16.36
Most likely score 2-0 (16.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Orlando Pirates to score about 1.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 28% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 1487 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Orlando Pirates
Attack 1.76 · Defence 0.50
Last five: WWWWW, scored 13, conceded 1
Sekhukhune United
Attack 1.24 · Defence 0.86
Last five: LWWWD, scored 9, conceded 6
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Orlando Pirates won 3, 1 drawn, Sekhukhune United won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (17%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Sekhukhune United has a new coach, Papi Zothwane, for its last 5 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Orlando Pirates attack scores 76% more than average, against Sekhukhune United defence, which lets in 14% fewer than average: 1.96 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
- Sekhukhune United attack scores 24% more than average, against Orlando Pirates defence, which lets in 50% fewer than average: 0.62 goals (an average side here: 1.00)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Orlando Pirates 2.11, Sekhukhune United 0.48.
Ratings from 106 matches for Orlando Pirates and 98 for Sekhukhune United, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Orlando Pirates score 2.3 a game — 100th percentile in this competition.
- 1 of the last 6 meetings went over 2.5 goals.
- Orlando Pirates have kept 6 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.34 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.70 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 34% | 2.92 |
| Both teams to score: No | 66% | 1.52 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Orlando Pirates 6.5 · Sekhukhune United 2.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (225 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 16.8%
- 1–0 14.9%
- 3–0 11.8%
- 1–1 8.6%
- 0–0 8.6%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 4–0 6.2%
- 3–1 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Orlando Pirates
No lineup published yet.
Sekhukhune United
- 30 M. Buthelezi Goalkeeper
- 31 T. Mokoane Midfielder
- 28 T. Matsimbi Defender
- 15 S. Mkhize Midfielder
- 11 E. Rammala Midfielder
- 33 G. Khupe Midfielder
- 34 C. Ohizu Attacker
- 26 A. Mcaba Defender
- 2 N. Mobbie Defender
- 8 Oageng Phiri Midfielder
- 13 Mcedi Vandala Midfielder
Form guide
Orlando Pirates at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.8 per game
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sekhukhune United away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates v Sekhukhune United | 3–0 | |
| Orlando Pirates v Sekhukhune United | 2–0 | |
| Sekhukhune United v Orlando Pirates | 0–1 | |
| Sekhukhune United v Orlando Pirates | 0–0 | |
| Orlando Pirates v Sekhukhune United | 0–1 | |
| Orlando Pirates v Sekhukhune United | 0–1 |
The full Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home clean sheet | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 38% | 2.64 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 25% | 3.95 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 8% | 12.07 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 6% | 16.36 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 72.82 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 79.40 |