Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele prediction, stats & H2H

Why the Ghost says this

The Ghost expects Kaizer Chiefs to score about 0.9 more and playing at home is worth roughly 28% in this competition.

Medium confidence — Fitted on 1487 matches, with no market price to check against.

The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on

What could swing it

• Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.28× what an average away side does. In the numbers
• Last 3 meetings: Kaizer Chiefs won 1, 1 drawn, Siwelele won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers

Most likely score 1-0 (16%). Confidence: Medium.

Flags and warnings

Nothing unusual behind these numbers.

How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces

• Kaizer Chiefs attack scores 23% more than average, against Siwelele defence, which lets in 10% fewer than average: 1.42 goals (an average side here: 1.29)
• Siwelele attack scores about the average, against Kaizer Chiefs defence, which lets in 26% fewer than average: 0.75 goals (an average side here: 1.00)

With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Kaizer Chiefs 1.51, Siwelele 0.66.

Ratings from 92 matches for Kaizer Chiefs and 41 for Siwelele, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.

What matters

• Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 a game — 75th percentile in this competition.

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.3

Kaizer Chiefs 5.3 · Siwelele 4.0

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (225 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1. 1–0 15.8%
2. 2–0 13.1%
3. 0–0 12.9%
4. 1–1 12.8%
5. 2–1 8.6%
6. 3–0 6.6%
7. 0–1 6.0%
8. 3–1 4.3%