USA vs Canada match stats & report
1–0 Full time
USA beat Canada 1–0 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 7 October 2026. USA had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave USA 46%, the draw 28% and Canada 26%.
USA vs Canada match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 5 Total shots 6
- 1 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 1 Blocked shots 0
- 4 Shots inside the box 2
- 4 Corners 8
- 17 Fouls 19
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 368 Passes 310
- 79% Pass accuracy 74%
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 29' Goal J. Ellis (assist A. Freeman) USA
- 31' Yellow card T. Oluwaseyi Canada
- 40' Yellow card G. Reyna USA
- 58' Yellow card J. David Canada
- 71' Yellow card M. Tillman USA
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 46%USA fair odds 2.15
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.58
- 26%Canada fair odds 3.90
Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 6.98 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.52 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.26 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.5
USA 3.5 · Canada 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.5
USA 1.8 · Canada 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
USA 3.4 · Canada 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.3%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 1–0 8.8%
- 2–0 8.2%
- 0–0 8.0%
- 1–2 6.7%
- 0–1 5.8%
- 2–2 5.4%
Team news & lineups
USA
Bench D. Kochen , C. Brady , N. Pierre , A. Robinson , P. Miller , S. Dest , M. Robinson , C. Sullivan , Z. Gozo , A. Mehmeti , S. Berhalter , T. Adams , D. Downs , J. Hall , C. Campbell
Canada
Bench O. Goodman , J. Pantemis , R. Chukwu , Jamie Knight-Lebel , Jovan Ivanišević , M. Choiniere , J. Smith , T. Corbeanu , J. Russell-Rowe , D. Jebbison , Promise David , Marcus Caldeira
Form guide
USA at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.1 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Canada away
1–0–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
USA vs Canada head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Canada v USA | 2–1 | |
| USA v Canada | 1–2 | |
| USA v Canada | 2–2 | |
| Canada v USA | 0–2 | |
| Canada v USA | 2–0 | |
| USA v Canada | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.95 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.87 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.87 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.90 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.32 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.15 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.11 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.62 |