Mexico vs Chile match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Mexico lost to Chile 0–2 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 7 October 2026. Mexico had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mexico 55%, the draw 27% and Chile 18%.
Mexico vs Chile match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 15 Total shots 9
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 5 Blocked shots 1
- 6 Shots inside the box 8
- 7 Corners 2
- 9 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 601 Passes 329
- 86% Pass accuracy 77%
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 44' Yellow card J. Gallardo Mexico
- 54' Goal M. Gutiérrez (assist G. Tapia) Chile
- 65' Goal V. Pizarro (assist D. Osorio) Chile
- 73' Yellow card E. López Mexico
- 78' Yellow card D. Osorio Chile
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 55%Mexico fair odds 1.83
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.74
- 18%Chile fair odds 5.42
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.89 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Mexico 4.8 · Chile 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Mexico 1.6 · Chile 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Mexico 4.3 · Chile 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–0 10.9%
- 2–0 10.6%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 3–0 6.1%
- 3–1 5.5%
- 1–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Mexico
Bench J. Vasquez , J. Sánchez , I. Violante , D. García , S. Gimenez , Santiago Sandoval , H. Camberos , J. Márquez , Ó. García , J. Rangel , D. Campillo , V. Guzmán , L. Chavez , O. Pineda
Chile
Bench V. Méndez , C. Pérez , B. Brereton , M. Sepúlveda , I. Lichnovsky , L. Cepeda , C. Bravo , B. Cortés , Felipe Andrés Faúndez González , I. Roman , M. Morales , F. Salinas , Nils Reichmuth , A. Arce , L. Hernández
Form guide
Mexico at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chile away
3–0–4 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 7
- Corners
- 2.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Mexico vs Chile head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico v Chile | 2–2 | |
| Mexico v Chile | 3–1 | |
| Mexico v Chile | 0–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 45% | 2.21 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 69% | 1.46 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.42 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.55 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.23 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 31% | 3.20 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 15.11 |