Russia vs Nigeria match stats & report
3–3 Full time
Russia drew with Nigeria 3–3 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 6 October 2026. Russia had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Russia 59%, the draw 25% and Nigeria 16%.
Russia vs Nigeria match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 15 Total shots 9
- 6 Shots on target 5
- 6 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 5
- 7 Corners 3
- 16 Fouls 9
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 524 Passes 318
- 86% Pass accuracy 79%
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 10' Goal K. Ịheanachọ (assist Abdullahi Bewene) Nigeria
- 30' Goal L. Sadulaev (assist M. Kislyak) Russia
- 37' Yellow card I. Oblyakov Russia
- 43' Yellow card L. Sadulaev Russia
- 45+2' Goal M. Kislyak Russia
- 54' Goal A. Miranchuk (assist A. Sobolev) Russia
- 78' Goal Osayande Peter Edokpolor Nigeria
- 81' Yellow card C. Nwoko Nigeria
- 90+4' Goal A. Adams (assist U. Abubakar) Nigeria
- 90+6' Yellow card U. Abubakar Nigeria
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%Russia fair odds 1.69
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.00
- 16%Nigeria fair odds 6.28
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.03 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Russia 4.7 · Nigeria 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Russia 1.7 · Nigeria 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Russia 3.8 · Nigeria 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4576 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 2–0 11.2%
- 1–0 10.7%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 0–0 7.9%
- 3–0 6.9%
- 3–1 6.1%
- 1–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Russia
Bench K. Glebov , M. Glushenkov , K. Tyukavin , A. Mitryushkin , S. Agkatsev , T. Ibishev , I. Diveev , A. Adamov , A. Karpukas , M. Beveev , D. Prutsev , N. Umyarov , M. Petrov
Nigeria
Bench A. Adams , A. Umar , S. Nwabali , M. Atata , K. Igboke , V. Osuji , U. Abubakar , I. Ajasa , Osayande Peter Edokpolor
Form guide
Russia at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nigeria away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Russia vs Nigeria head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Russia v Nigeria | 1–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.44 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.44 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.57 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.93 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 18.14 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.28 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.39 |