Uganda vs Congo DR match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Uganda drew with Congo DR 1–1 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 5 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Uganda 25%, the draw 34% and Congo DR 41%.
Goals and cards
- 64' Goal Nathanaël Mbuku Congo DR
- 80' Yellow card Uganda
- 90' Goal James Bogere Uganda
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 25%Uganda fair odds 4.07
- 34%Draw fair odds 2.91
- 41%Congo DR fair odds 2.44
Most likely score 0-0 (16.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.28 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.65 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 21.43 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 16% | 6.17 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 39% | 2.56 |
| Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.64 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Uganda 4.0 · Congo DR 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Uganda 1.7 · Congo DR 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 7.8
Uganda 3.1 · Congo DR 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 8.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 9.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4556 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–0 16.2%
- 1–1 14.9%
- 0–1 14.5%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 0–2 9.1%
- 1–2 7.4%
- 2–1 5.3%
- 2–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Uganda
Bench Akpan Udoh , H. Sebwalunyo , G. Kizito , G. Kene , M. Hilary , Jonathan Odongo , Travis Mutyaba , Allan Oyirwoth , J. Seremba , James Bogere , Denis Omedi , F. Ssebuufu
Congo DR
Form guide
Uganda at home
2–2–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.7 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Congo DR away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.9 per game
9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Uganda vs Congo DR head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Congo DR v Uganda | 0–2 | |
| Congo DR v Uganda | 1–0 | |
| Congo DR v Uganda | 0–0 | |
| Congo DR v Uganda | 0–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.07 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.07 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away clean sheet | 45% | 2.25 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.14 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.01 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.44 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.49 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.58 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.62 |