Mauritius vs Sri Lanka match stats & report
2–3 Full time
Mauritius lost to Sri Lanka 2–3 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 5 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mauritius 65%, the draw 25% and Sri Lanka 10%.
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal S. De Robillard Mauritius
- 20' Goal R. Suresh Sri Lanka
- 40' Goal N. Senthurvasan Sri Lanka
- 69' Penalty scored S. Durrant Sri Lanka
- 80' Goal F. Aurelien Mauritius
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 65%Mauritius fair odds 1.53
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.07
- 10%Sri Lanka fair odds 9.88
Most likely score 1-0 (15.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.19 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 9.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 37% | 2.67 |
| Both teams to score: No | 63% | 1.60 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected cards: 3.3
Mauritius 1.6 · Sri Lanka 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4380 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 15.7%
- 2–0 15.1%
- 1–1 11.0%
- 0–0 10.8%
- 3–0 8.9%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 3–1 5.1%
- 0–1 4.2%
Form guide
Mauritius at home
1–1–2 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sri Lanka away
4–0–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 1.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 0.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Mauritius vs Sri Lanka head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mauritius v Sri Lanka | 3–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.54 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.88 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 11% | 8.85 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 38.27 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 48.78 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home clean sheet | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.90 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 10% | 9.88 |