USA vs Mexico match stats & report
3–0 Full time
USA beat Mexico 3–0 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 4 October 2026. Mexico had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave USA 38%, the draw 29% and Mexico 32%.
USA vs Mexico match statistics
- 48% Ball possession 52%
- 7 Total shots 5
- 3 Shots on target 1
- 2 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 1
- 5 Shots inside the box 3
- 2 Corners 3
- 18 Fouls 8
- 2 Offsides 4
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 401 Passes 430
- 83% Pass accuracy 84%
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 28' Goal J. Hall USA
- 35' Yellow card L. Romo Mexico
- 62' Goal C. Sullivan USA
- 64' Yellow card T. Adams USA
- 67' Red card M. Chávez Mexico
- 68' Yellow card S. Berhalter USA
- 84' Goal M. Tillman USA
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 38%USA fair odds 2.61
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.40
- 32%Mexico fair odds 3.10
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.26 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.22 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.2
USA 3.9 · Mexico 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.5
USA 1.9 · Mexico 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
USA 3.0 · Mexico 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 9.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4525 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 0–0 8.9%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 1–0 8.4%
- 1–2 7.8%
- 0–1 7.4%
- 2–0 6.9%
- 0–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
USA
- 24 D. Kochen Goalkeeper
- 16 A. Freeman Defender
- 3 C. Richards Defender
- 6 A. Trusty Defender
- 5 A. Robinson Defender
- 8 C. Sullivan Midfielder
- 14 S. Berhalter Midfielder
- 4 T. Adams Midfielder
- 7 G. Reyna Midfielder
- 19 J. Hall Attacker
- 17 M. Tillman Attacker
Bench Y. Musah , J. Ellis , P. Miller , B. Raines , M. Albert , M. Freese , B. Schwake , N. Pierre , F. Westfield , S. Dest , G. Campbell , A. Mehmeti , Z. Gozo , D. Downs , C. Campbell
Mexico
- 1 J. Rangel Goalkeeper
- 15 I. Reyes Defender
- 3 D. Campillo Defender
- 5 J. Vasquez Defender
- 23 J. Gallardo Defender
- 25 R. Alvarado Midfielder
- 6 É. Lira Midfielder
- 7 L. Romo Midfielder
- 17 O. Pineda Midfielder
- 28 Santiago Sandoval Attacker
- 11 S. Gimenez Attacker
Bench M. Chávez , L. Chavez , I. Violante , Álvaro Fidalgo , A. González , E. López , O. Vargas , Ó. García , V. Guzmán , J. Sánchez , D. García , H. Camberos , J. Márquez , G. Berterame
Form guide
USA at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.1 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mexico away
3–0–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 4
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
USA vs Mexico head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| USA v Mexico | 1–2 | |
| Mexico v USA | 2–0 | |
| Mexico v USA | 0–2 | |
| USA v Mexico | 3–0 | |
| USA v Mexico | 1–1 | |
| Mexico v USA | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.40 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.48 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.61 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away clean sheet | 25% | 3.96 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.10 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.90 |