Maldives vs Lebanon match stats & report
0–6 Full time
Maldives lost to Lebanon 0–6 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 1 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Maldives 5%, the draw 20% and Lebanon 75%.
Goals and cards
- 3' Goal H. Chakroun (assist Hasan Srour) Lebanon
- 11' Red card S. Ali Maldives
- 36' Goal H. Chakroun (assist Jimmy Kazan) Lebanon
- 42' Goal H. Chakroun Lebanon
- 52' Own goal A. Rasheed Lebanon
- 73' Yellow card Lebanon
- 83' Goal Ali Kassas (assist Wehbe Fawaz) Lebanon
- 90+2' Goal Ali Kassas (assist Wehbe Fawaz) Lebanon
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 5%Maldives fair odds 18.68
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.97
- 75%Lebanon fair odds 1.34
Most likely score 0-2 (18.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.73 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.58 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 29% | 3.51 |
| Both teams to score: No | 71% | 1.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.4
Maldives 4.0 · Lebanon 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Maldives 1.7 · Lebanon 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Maldives 2.5 · Lebanon 5.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 7.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 9.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4488 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–2 18.4%
- 0–1 17.8%
- 0–3 12.0%
- 0–0 10.4%
- 1–1 8.2%
- 1–2 7.1%
- 0–4 5.9%
- 1–3 4.7%
Form guide
Maldives at home
1–1–5 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 7
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
67% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Lebanon away
3–0–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 3.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 4
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 14% | 7.15 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 6% | 17.23 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 31% | 3.18 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 1% | 97.03 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 95% | 1.06 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 95% | 1.06 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 25% | 3.93 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.93 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 5% | 18.68 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 138.22 |