VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction & stats
VfB Stuttgart stats & fixtures · Atletico Madrid stats & fixtures
VfB Stuttgart take on Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Atletico Madrid favourites at 43%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 67%.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction
- 32%VfB Stuttgart fair odds 3.17
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 43%Atletico Madrid fair odds 2.31
Most likely score 1-1 (11.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.03 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.18 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.03 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.0%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 2–1 7.5%
- 2–2 6.8%
- 0–2 5.8%
- 1–3 5.4%
- 0–1 5.1%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
VfB Stuttgart
- 6 A. Stiller Midfielder
- 26 D. Undav Midfielder
- 24 J. Chabot Defender
- 4 J. Vagnoman Midfielder
- 3 R. Hendriks Defender
- 11 B. El Khannouss Midfielder
- 29 Finn Jeltsch Defender
- 9 E. Demirović Attacker
- 41 D. Seimen Goalkeeper
- 18 J. Leweling Midfielder
- 16 A. Karazor Midfielder
Atletico Madrid
- 21 C. Romero Defender
- 13 J. Oblak Goalkeeper
- 20 G. Simeone Midfielder
- 7 Lee Kang-In Attacker
- 17 D. Hancko Defender
- 8 P. Barrios Midfielder
- 15 J. David Attacker
- 22 Álex Grimaldo Defender
- 14 Marcos Llorente Midfielder
- 11 A. Lookman Attacker
- 18 Marc Pubill Defender
Out and doubtful
- J. Cardoso Atletico Madrid Out — Illness
- Koke Atletico Madrid Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Al Dakhil VfB Stuttgart Out — Knee Injury
- J. Diehl VfB Stuttgart Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Stergiou VfB Stuttgart Out — Off the roster
- S. Drljaca VfB Stuttgart Out — Off the roster
- D. Zagadou VfB Stuttgart Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- M. Mittelstadt VfB Stuttgart Doubtful — Heel Injury
- N. Nartey VfB Stuttgart Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- T. Tomas VfB Stuttgart Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
VfB Stuttgart at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 8.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.7 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico Madrid away
5–0–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.64 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.31 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.14 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.00 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.64 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.45 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.17 |