Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC prediction & stats
Manchester City stats & fixtures · AEK Athens FC stats & fixtures
Manchester City take on AEK Athens FC in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Manchester City favourites at 83%, with the draw at 12%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 12.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 44%.
Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC prediction
- 83%Manchester City fair odds 1.20
- 12%Draw fair odds 8.16
- 4%AEK Athens FC fair odds 22.67
Most likely score 2-0 (12.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 28.44 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.13 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.80 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Manchester City 6.0 · AEK Athens FC 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Manchester City 1.5 · AEK Athens FC 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Manchester City 6.4 · AEK Athens FC 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (223 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 12.3%
- 3–0 12.1%
- 4–0 8.9%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 3–1 7.5%
- 1–1 5.8%
- 4–1 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Manchester City
- 6 M. Guéhi Defender
- 9 E. Haaland Attacker
- 1 G. Donnarumma Goalkeeper
- 3 Rúben Dias Defender
- 27 M. Nunes Defender
- 17 E. Fernandez Midfielder
- 10 R. Cherki Midfielder
- 42 A. Semenyo Midfielder
- 7 I. Ndiaye Midfielder
- 5 E. Anderson Midfielder
- 11 J. Doku Midfielder
AEK Athens FC
- 9 L. Jović Attacker
- 14 L. Majer Midfielder
- 2 H. Moukoudi Defender
- 44 Filipe Relvas Defender
- 3 S. Pilios Defender
- 18 R. Marin Midfielder
- 91 A. Brignoli Goalkeeper
- 12 L. Rota Defender
- 11 A. Koita Attacker
- 27 M. Vitális Midfielder
- 90 Zini Attacker
Form guide
Manchester City at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
AEK Athens FC away
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 17% | 6.00 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 13% | 7.81 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.89 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 5% | 18.95 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 17% | 6.00 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 40.04 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 96% | 1.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Away double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home clean sheet | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.05 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 4% | 22.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 86.24 |